Home / Trade Alert / Sell – SABMiller (SAB)

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Sell – SABMiller (SAB) - 23 July 2015

Opening Price Stop Loss Profit Limit Reward vs Risk CFD Margin
3433p 3530p (97p/2.8% above) 3200p (233p/6.8% below) 2.4x 5%

Observations – For

  • Falling 4-month channel
  • Resistance at 100-day MA
  • Stochastics turning down from overbought
  • Momentum resistance at recent highs

Observations – Against

  • Bearish cross not confirmed by directional indicators
  • No reversal on Point & Figure chart yet
  • Momentum still positive
  • Stochastics not yet broken below MACD

Analyst Comments

Q1 results missed estimates today, with a drop in lager sales on sluggish performance in Europe offsetting better results in emerging markets. While beverage volumes were flat, beer volumes fell and a strong LatAm and Africa was countered by weak Europe and softer China. Strong USD also hurting in terms of FX headwinds.

Broker Numis (23 Jul) says FY16 outlook remains difficult, concerned about increased competition and difficult trading in Latin America and still tough trading conditions in North America and Europe.

While the majority of brokers are positive/Neutral with targets above the current share price, 2 of the 12 updates today are looking for declines in-line with our 3200p target.

Next Event: MillerCoors Q2 Trading Update, 6 Aug

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  41% Buy, 38% Hold, 21% x Sell (breakdown available on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Boomberg, Company website

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

12-month (daily) – MACD, Stochastics, Directional Indicators, RSI, Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -1.0 1.1 -3.6 0.8 5.6 27.4 48.5 75.8
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