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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Sell – Aberdeen Asset Management - 14 January 2016

Opening Price Stop Loss Profit Limit Reward vs Risk CFD Margin
236p 270p (+34p/14%) 186p (-50p/21%) 1.5x 5%

Observations – For

  • Breakdown below 240p support
  • Directional indicators diverging bearishly
  • ADX (trend strength) increasing bearishly

Observations – Against

  • Shares still in an area of potential support
  • Stochastics & RSI oversold

Analyst Comments

Nothing’s changed regarding China with questionable economic data and stock market volatility leaving investors highly wary of emerging markets. US Dollar strength also a headwind with expectations of a retracement of pre-Fed rate hike gains thus far not coming to fruition. This all leaves little in the pot for EM-focused asset managers like ADN.

90% of broker recommendations are now neutral to bearish on the stock, yet we still note brokers are behind the curve with even the most bearish target price sitting 2% above current levels. Expect target price revisions at the very least.

Next Event: Q1 trading update,  27 Jan

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  11% Buy, 50% Hold39% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Boomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

12-month (daily) - Stochastics, Directional Indicators, RSI, Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -10.0 -15.1 -27.3 -40.6 -41.9 -47.2 -37.9 +9.4 +11.1
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