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Buy – Whitbread (WTB) - 17 September 2015

Opening Price Stop Loss Profit Limit Reward vs Risk CFD Margin
4671p 4500p (171p/3.7% below) 4940p (269p/5.8% above) 1.6x 5%

Observations – For

  • Shares bottoming out
  • Technicals = positive divergence with price
  • Stochastics & RSI rebound from oversold
  • MACD crossing up through signal
  • Momentum almost back to positive

Observations – Against

  • Technicals rebounding but still negative
  • Summer volume rise tapered off
  • MACD not yet cross back above Stochastics
  • No Point & Figure chart reversal yet
  • No bullish cross yet by Directional Indicators

Analyst Comments

Shares made fresh 2015 lows after Q2 update (8 Sept) but have since stabilized. Company sees earnings on track to hit guidance thanks to improved sales which showed continued progress on ambitious organic growth and expansion plans to open 5500 rooms and 220 net new Costa outlets worldwide. Technicals looking like 12-months ago?

Bloomberg consensus shows 92% of brokers positive/neutral with 93% of target prices above the current share price. Consensus target price implies 16% upside to well above our trade target.

Next Event:  Full Interim Results, 20 Oct

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  60% Buy, 32% Hold, 8% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Boomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

12-months (daily) – MACD, Stochastics, Directional Indicators, RSI, Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -0.2 -10.4 -13.6 11.5 48.5 102.3 183.4 193.4
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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