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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Tate & Lyle

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Tate & Lyle - 6 August 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 639p
  • Stop Loss: 620p (19p/3% below)
  • Profit Limit: 680p (41p/6.4% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.2x
  • CFD Margin: 20%

Technical Observations – For

  • Bounce off 620p support
  • Shares broken above 20-day MA
  • Stochastics broken above MACD
  • Directional Indicators close to bullish cross
  • RSI bounced from oversold

Technical Observations – Against

  • Stochastics could soon be overbought
  • ADX (trend strength) waning
  • 50-day moving average hurdle ~650p?
  • 18-month falling highs resistance
  • MACD still negative

Analyst Comments

Defensive non-cyclical sector, offers investor protection. Analysts at Jefferies (13 Jun) said shares fairly priced around 670p, a level revisited in July, and which is our short-term target. It also said the company was outperforming US peers, and had ambitious 2019 guidance. Shares jumped in late May, reacting to FY results. Supportive 4-5% dividend yield.

Risks to TATE shares include a downturn in demand for food ingredients, sugars and sweeteners. A global recession could be dangerous, as could prolonged Brexit uncertainty or trade disruption and broker downgrades. Any further crackdown on sugar (sugary drink tax) could be a negative.

Consensus is biased positive with 93% of brokers saying either Buy or Hold, and only 7% saying Sell. This is supported by 89% of analysts suggesting upside from current levels with a medium-term target price of 716p being well above our objective of revisiting recent highs.

Next Event: Capital Markets Day, 12 Sept; H1 Results, 8 Nov

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  22% Buy, 71% Hold, 7% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

12-month (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, Trend Strength, RSI, Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 1.1 -3.1 9.4 -0.7 -6.1 -11.2 17.4 -0.1 -23.2
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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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