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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Royal Dutch Shell B

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Royal Dutch Shell B - 11 December 2017

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 2402p
  • Stop Loss: 2350p (52p/2.2% below)
  • Profit Limit: 2513p (111p/4.6% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.1x
  • CFD Margin: 3%

Observations – For

  • Bullish reversal off 2350p
  • Bullish break above 2380p and 50-day MA
  • Stochastcis up from oversold 
  • MACD close to bullish cross

Observations – Against

  • 200-day MA = below recent lows
  • MACD still negative
  • Sensitive to Oil prices and GBP/USD rate
  • No bullish reversal on Point & Figure chart

Analyst Comments

Attractive technical set-up with strong bullish reversal thanks to Oil prices holding their rebound on an OPEC/NOPEC-production cut extension agreement and the company recently raising guidance. Big 6% dividend yield makes the shares attractive to income investors. More share buybacks are also supportive for the shares.

Consensus is 82% bullish on the shares, with the same percentage of analysts suggesting upside potential for the shares from current levels. The consensus target of 2658p is well above our short-term trade objective of 2513p Nov highs. Note the average of December broker updates suggesting even more upside (2723p).

Next Event: Weekly US Oil Inventories (every Weds); Q4 results, 1 Feb; 

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  59% Buy, 23% Hold, 18Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

2-month (4-hourly); Stochastics + MACD

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 0.3 -3.5 10.1 13.8 9.4 57.4 10.6 11.3 11.0
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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