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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Plus500 - 30 November 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 1518p
  • Stop Loss: 1375p (143p/9.4% below)
  • Profit Limit: 2050p (532p/35% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 3.7x
  • CFD Margin: 20% (5% for those with Professional Status accounts)

Technical Observations – For

  • Bullish share price breakout
  • Shares broken back above 200-day mov. avg
  • Bullish cross by Directional Indicators
  • Stochastics broken above MACD
  • Rising momentum

Technical Observations – Against

  • Stochastics back to overbought
  • RSI overbought
  • 100-day mov. avg. could prove a hurdle
  • Shares already +21% since Nov lows
  • Momentum back at Aug highs

Analyst Comments

Bullish share price reversal after summer decline. On 20 Nov Plus500 said it expects to beat 2018 market views on trading momentum. On 23 Oct Berenberg said Plus500 is undervalued with regulatory fears overblown.

Risks to Plus500 include more European/UK regulation, calm markets than result in low volatility and less trading, further declines in the cyrptocurrencies which recently boosted results, and of course, broker downgrades.

Analysts are biased positive, although coverage is limited to just 3 brokers with 2 of three target prices suggesting upside from current levels to a consensus of 2061p, in-line with our target of revisiting Aug highs.

Next Event: Trading Update, early  Jan

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  67% Buy, 0% Hold, 33% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

6-month (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, Trend Strength, RSI, Momentum

1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 7.0 15.2 -0.4 -6.6 58.0 151.2 275.6 186.9 442.0
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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