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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – NMC Health

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – NMC Health - 4 June 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 3448p
  • Stop Loss: 3370p (78p/2.3% below)
  • Profit Limit: 3800p (352p/10.2% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 4.5x
  • CFD Margin: 10%

Observations – For

  • Long-term, multi-year uptrend;
  • Chance for rebound after 10% sell-off
  • Bounce off three-way intersection of support
  • Stochastics & RSI oversold
  • Momentum back at March & May lows
  • Suport via 100-day moving average

Observations – Against

  • MACD not yet broken above Stochastics
  • No bullish cross by Directional Indicators
  • No bullish reversal on Point & Figure chart
  • Shares broken below 20 and 50-day moving average

Analyst Comments

Potential for continuation of long term share price uptrend. The company operates in a defensive sector, healthcare being more necessity than choice. The company continues to be acquisitive and was able to raise $450m of convertible bonds due 2025 at an attractive 1.875% coupon/interest rate.  The company recently reported 2017 pre-tax profits +39%, on revenues +31%, (margins expanding) up 4.8x and 3.6x, respectively, since 2011.

Broker consensus is bullish, with 83% of analysts saying Buy, none saying Sell, and 67% of broker targets suggesting upside from current levels. We note the latest broker updates (from late May) suggest targets north of £40, well beyond our objective of rebounding 10% to revisit the £38 highs of last month.

Next Event: Ex-div 14 Jun; AGM 28 Jun; Interim Results 23 Aug (est)

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  83% Buy, 17% Hold, 0% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

2yr long term chart

6-month (daily): Stochastics, MACD, ADX (Trend strength), RSI and Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -9.4 -4.1 2.0 21.2 53.8 201 352 612 1,072
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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