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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Micro Focus - 19 November 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 1514p
  • Stop Loss: 1400p (114p/7.5% below)
  • Profit Limit: 1900p (386p/25.5% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 3.4x
  • CFD Margin: 20% (5% for those with Professional Status accounts)

Technical Observations – For

  • Bullish share price breakout
  • Share price broken above 200-day mov. avg.
  • Bullish cross by Directional Indicators
  • Stochastics broken above MACD

Technical Observations – Against

  • Stochastics back to overbought
  • RSI back at overbought
  • MACD flat
  • Sharea already +18% in a week

Analyst Comments

Share buyback extended by up to $400m (6 Nov). Micro Focus sees FY18 trading in line with views (5 Nov). Analysts at Numis says Micro Focus 2018 EPS could beat expectations (5 Nov). Solid 5.75% dividend.

Risks to Micro Focus shares include; significant GBP strength reducing the value of USD dividends; A tech sector downturn that drags even the more defensive types with it, Brexit and, of course, broker downgrades.

Brokers/analysts are bullish on the shares with only 25% suggesting Sell. This is supported by 50% of broker price targets suggesting upside from current levels. The consensus target of 1446p is below the current share price but the shares price breakout could attract upgrades to both ratings and targets

Next Event: Interim Results, early Jan

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  50% Buy, 25% Hold, 25% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

12-month (daily) - MACD, Stochastics, Trend Strength, RSI, Momentum

1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 17.8 8.1 21.7 12.3 -44.0 -23.4 19.6 49.1 85.3
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance.

Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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