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This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Barratt Developments - 8 June 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 584p
  • Stop Loss: 570p (14p/2.4% below)
  • Profit Limit: 620p (36p/6.2% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.6x
  • CFD Margin: 10%

Observations – For

  • Double bullish breakout
  • Uptrend since April
  • Bullish cross by Directional Indicators
  • RSI trending upwards
  • Stochastics up through MACD
  • Broken above 100-day Moving Average.

Observations – Against

  • First day of breakout
  • Stochastics technically overbought
  • ADX (trend strength) is nothing impressive
  • 200-day moving average could provide resistance

Analyst Comments

Attractive bullish breakout from 2-month sideways channel. Broker consensus is Bullish, with 62% of analysts saying Buy and only 12% advocating Sell. Recent positive uptick in Halifax Housing Index (showing a recovery from April) could induce the remaining 25% of brokers to upgrade their ratings.

Low interest rates, no rate hike imminent. Attractive 7.2% dividend yield.

A healthy 81% of broker target prices are suggesting an upside from current levels. Average broker 12-month target price (638p) is well in excess of our profit goal of 620p.

Next Event: FY Sales and Revenue – Trading Update, 11 July

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus: 62.5% Buy, 25% Hold, 12.5% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

12-month (daily): Stochastics, MACD, ADX (Trend strength), RSI and Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 6.8 3.8 9.0 -4.2 -0.3 2.5 -1.6 58.9 84.3
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