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2018 Top Stocks Page 1

As we draw to the end of yet another record-breaking year, it’s time to look ahead to what comes next. 2017 took on the torch from where its predecessor left off, providing shocks, scandals and recoveries aplenty.

So, what does 2018 hold? Surely nothing could top the past 24 months of excitement? Think again.

Re-elections, Re-elections, Re-elections

We thought we might have earned a break from going to the polls after a slew of elections and referenda in the past 18 months. However, it looks as though 2018 will see vote counters roused from their day jobs once more. Possibly even multiple times.

In Germany, Chancellor Angela Merkel is yet to form a government after her CDU/CSU party won the most votes in the country’s September Federal Election. Negotiations to form a ‘Jamaica’ coalition broke down, while the opposition SPD party are tentative in brokering a new ‘grand’ coalition – the form of government that has ruled the country since 2013.

Italy is still scheduled to hold elections in early 2018 after Prime Minister Matteo Renzi failed to win a key referendum, while closer to home, the Irish government narrowly avoided elections after the Deputy PM resigned to avoid a no confidence vote.

However, there are still wide-ranging ramifications of the political turmoil unfolding on the Emerald Isle.

Brexit means Brexit. Or does it?

Over eight months since Article 50 was triggered and UK-EU divorce proceedings began, investors are still none the wiser as to exactly what Brexit will ultimately look like once the 2019 deadline arrives.

While many in the UK are ready to talk preferential trade deals, European counterparts seem to be singing from a different hymn sheet entirely.

Most contentiously, the Northern Irish border remains a crucial issue and, while a divorce bill of €45-55bn has been suggested by both sides, this will be subject to negotiation right up until a final deal.

All this before even reaching the hurdles facing the UK and EU in 2018. Assuming the aforementioned issues are solved, next year will see the start of all-important trade talks. Will things run smoothly or might the UK walk away if the EU offers a ‘bad’ deal?

The Federal Reserve of Trump

If you thought Brexit is taking a while to take shape, then spare a thought for US President Donald Trump.

It has taken almost 11 months for the President, to score a major legislative victory, seeing his Tax Reform pass in the Senate after attempts to repeal Obamacare were shot down earlier this year.

Trump’s most influential move of 2017, however, may be his nomination of Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell to become the next chair of the Fed.

Breaking many years of precedent, the President did not re-nominate the current head, Janet Yellen, for a second term, instead opting to promote current Fed Governor Powell. Will the former investment banker prove more hawkish than his dovish predecessor?

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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