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Persimmon: Safe as houses? Not quite

Persimmon shares are delivering a textbook lesson to investors this morning, highlighting the dangers in relying on headlines alone. Today’s H1 trading update may show revenues up a handsome 12% coupled with volumes and average selling prices climbing by 6%. But a 4% share price decline is all down to Brexit uncertainty easily outweighing the positive financials and management’s confidence falling on deaf ears.

persimmon

Once again results are worth nada; outlook is king! Share prices quite rightly attribute nearly all importance on future earnings potential rather than historical performance. After all, you can’t buy past growth. And investors like corporate uncertainty only marginally more than they liked listening to Chris Evans’ shouting on a Sunday evening.

It’s still early days following the referendum but the property market and housebuilders are being singled out as the most exposed, nursing the biggest losses on the UK Index since June 24. And Standard Life Investments suspending redemptions from its £2.9bn commercial real-estate fund is like a red flag to a panicky bull, failing miserably to retain calm among the sector’s retail faithful, simply adding fuel to post-Brexit flames of worry. Shares off their worst levels, but be careful you don’t get burnt.

Mike van Dulken, Head of Research, 4 July

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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