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Morning Report - 7 November 2024

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Price (p) % Chg
Ashtead Group PLC 6,300.0 5.6%
Barclays PLC 258.2 5.4%
BT Group PLC 9,002.0 5.2%
BAE Systems PLC 1,343.0 4.9%
3I Group PLC 3,493.0 4.6%
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Price (p) % Chg
Persimmon PLC 1343.5 -8.7%
Intertek Group PLC 4518.0 -4.7%
Taylor Wimpey PLC 139.7 -4.1%
Smith & Nephew PLC 927.8 -4.0%
Fresnillo PLC 699.0 -3.9%
Major World Indices Price % Chg 1 Year
UK 100 INDEX 8,167 -0.1% 10.2%
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG 43,730 3.6% 28.0%
DAX INDEX 19,039 -1.1% 25.7%
NIKKEI 225 39,381 -0.3% 22.0%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 8,226 0.3% 17.9%

 

Commodities Units Price % Chg
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) USD/bbl. 71.71 0.03%
Brent Crude (ICE) USD/bbl. 75.01 0.12%
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 2,666 0.3%
Copper (Comex) USd/lb. 432 1.7%
The UK 100 called to open +21 points at 8,187

4 Hours; 12 Months

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

The UK 100 called to open +21 points at 8,187.  The UK 100 looks set to open modestly higher this morning, this comes on the back of the UK’s blue-chip index having given up all of yesterdays early gains to end the session lower.

On Wall Street yesterday stocks rallied sharply, with major benchmarks hitting record highs, as Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election.  The Dow Jones surged 1,508.05 points, or 3.57%, to a record close of 43,729.93. The last time the blue-chip Dow jumped more than 1,000 points in a single day was in November 2022.  The S&P 500 also hit an all-time high, popping 2.53% to 5,929.04. The Nasdaq climbed 2.95% to a record of its own of 18,983.47.

Focus will now turn to hotly anticipated interest rate decisions from both The Bank of England & also the Federal Reserve.

Company News & Broker Comments:

Company News:

BT Group has made significant strides in modernizing its operations, achieving a record full fibre build and expanding its  network to cover 80% of the UK population. Despite a 3% revenue decline due to non-UK operations and a competitive retail market, the company reported a 1% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 57% rise in normalized free cash flow, supported by cost-saving measures and improved customer satisfaction. BT Group continues to focus on long-term value creation with an increased fibre build target and an interim dividend of 2.40 pence per share.

 

ITV reported an 8% fall in third-quarter revenue on Thursday, dragged down by lower revenue in its studios business that continues to face the impact of phased deliveries from the U.S writers’ and actors’ strike last year.  Revenue decreased to 2.74 billion pounds ($3.54 billion) in the three months ended Sept. 30, from 2.98 billion pounds a year earlier, ITV said. ($1 = 0.7733 pounds).

 

Rolls-Royce stuck to guidance for annual profit growth of at least 30% this year as its airline customers flew more and demand for power for data systems and defence equipment continued to grow.  That strength offset problems in the aerospace supply chain which has caused delays for parts, and which the company warned in August would cost 150 million pounds ($194 million) to 200 million pounds this year.

 

Sainsbury‘s reported increasing momentum in its second quarter as it reiterated guidance for strong underlying profit growth this financial year, helped by improving grocery volumes and a stronger performance from Argos in the second half.  The group reported total retail sales growth of 3.1% when excluding fuel for the 28 weeks to 14 September, with growth accelerating from 2.3% in the first quarter to 4.1% in the second.  Grocery sale growth picked up from 4.8% to 5.3% over the second quarter, with the company claiming to have seen the biggest market-share gains in the industry.

 

Taylor Wimpey said on Thursday there has been an improvement so far in the second half of the fiscal year and retained annual earnings outlook, as lower mortgage costs helped counter affordability concerns among homebuyers.  British housebuilders, after battling subdued demand for most of 2024, have witnessed signs of improved demand in recent months, spurred by the Bank of England’s interest rate reduction in August and supportive policy measures introduced by the Labour government.

 

Trainline PLC has reported impressive growth in the first half of fiscal year 2025, with net ticket sales rising 14% to £3 billion and revenue increasing 17% to £229 million. The company’s adjusted EBITDA soared by 44% to £82 million, driven by strategic expansions in Europe and a strong digital presence in the UK. Trainline maintains its position as Europe’s leading rail app, enhancing its market share in Spain and supporting the UK’s commuter market recovery.

Broker Comments:

Schroders Downgraded to Equal-weight by Morgan Stanley (6 Buys / 7 Holds / 2 Sell)

 

Reporting Today:

UK

 

Autotrader Group

BT Group

Derwent London

Endeavor Mining

Helios Towers

Hikma Pharmaceuticals

Howden Joinary Group

IMI

ITV

National Grid

RS Group

Rolls-Royce Group

Sainsbury (J)*

Tate & Lyle

Taylor Wimpey

Trainline

Wizz Air Holding

Wood Group (John)

 

 

US

 

Barrick Gold

Viatris

Arista Networks

Cloudflare

Gilead Sciences

Lucid Group

Pinterest

Rivian Automotive

The Trade Desk

Unity Software

Upstart Holdings

Moderna*

Block*

Reporting Tomorrow:

UK

 

International Consolidated Airlines Group

Rightmove

Vistry Group

 

US

 

None

 

 

In Focus Today:

Chinese Exports

Chinese Imports

Chinese Trade Balance

German Industrial Production

German Trade Balance

EU Retail Sales

BoE Interest Rate Decision

BoE Minutes

BoE Monetary Policy Report

BoE MPC Vote

UK Monetary Policy Report

BoE’s Governor Bailey speech

US Initial Jobless Claims

Fed Interest Rate Decision

Fed Monetary Policy Statement

FOMC Press Conference

 

 

Today’s Ex-Dividends:

UK 100 companies going ex-dividend on 7th November 2024:

 

Unilever

Airtel Africa

JD Sports Fashion

HSBC Holdings

BP

UK 250 companies going ex-dividend on 7th November 2024:

 

ME Group International

SThree

Genus

Ashmore Group

European Opportunities Trust

Bytes Technology Group

Softcat

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.


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