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Morning Report - 20 November 2024

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Price (p) % Chg
Imperial Brands PLC 2,476.0 3.1%
BT Group PLC 148.9 2.9%
DCC PLC 5,750.0 2.8%
British Land Company PLC 383.2 2.6%
Airtel Africa PLC 97.8 1.9%
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Price (p) % Chg
Diploma PLC 4174.0 -8.0%
Melrose Industries PLC 510.6 -3.0%
International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. 237.7 -2.8%
Barclays PLC 254.9 -2.3%
Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC 527.8 -2.1%

 

Major World Indices Price % Chg 1 Year
UK 100 INDEX 8,099 -0.1% 7.9%
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG 43,344 -0.1% 23.8%
DAX INDEX 19,060 -0.7% 19.7%
NIKKEI 225 38,414 0.5% 14.4%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 8,374 0.9% 18.6%
Commodities Units Price % Chg
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) USD/bbl. 69.02 -0.20%
Brent Crude (ICE) USD/bbl. 73.10 -0.27%
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 2,629 0.7%
Copper (Comex) USd/lb. 419 0.5%

 

The UK 100 called to open -5 points at 8,094.

4 Hours; 8 Months

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

The UK 100 called to open -5 points at 8,094.  The UK 100 looks set to open marginally lower this morning, following a recovery from the UK’s Bluechip index yesterday after an early fall.

Data out this morning showed The annual rate of inflation rose to 2.3% in October, figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).  The reading compares with the 1.7% recorded the previous month and is higher than City forecasts for a figure of 2.2%.  Meanwhile, retail sales figures published by the ONS have revealed 0.5% month-on-month growth in volumes during October.

Stateside yesterday saw a mixed trading session with a big swing during the session, early in the session the mounting geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia had seen a sharp sell off, before traders seemed to somewhat shrug this off as the trading session went on.  The tech-heavy Nasdaq was the biggest riser, gaining 1.04% to finish at 18,987.47, while the broad market S&P gained 0.4% to end at 5,916.98. The Dow Jones dipped 120.66 points, or 0.28%, to settle at 43,268.94, having been down 550 points in early trading.

Company News & Broker Comments:

Company News:

British Land reported a marginal rise in half-year profit on Wednesday, as operational strength at its retail parks properties countered valuation weakness in its office-focused campuses.  They announced a successful capital deployment strategy, focusing heavily on retail parks, which now make up 32% of their portfolio, leading to robust rental growth. Despite geopolitical challenges, the company has maintained strong financial performance with a 1% increase in underlying profit and earnings per share. Their focus on super prime space development and high occupancy rates in key sectors underpins their confident outlook for continued rental growth.

 

Crest Nicholson Holdings reported its FY24 performance aligned with expectations, despite challenges from affordability issues affecting private sales. The company is focusing on enhancing cash management, which led to better-than-expected net debt levels, and is preparing for a strategic transition in FY25 to boost value over volume. An improved economic landscape and government support are anticipated to benefit the housebuilder moving forward.

 

Sage Group reported a better-than-expected 21% rise in full-year operating profit to £529 million ($672 million) driven by a 220 basis points margin increase, and said it expected continued margin progress this year.  Sage also announced a significant share buyback program worth up to £400 million, reflecting the company’s strong cash reserves and positive future outlook. Scheduled to run until June 2025, this move underscores Sage’s commitment to its growth strategy and shareholder value. Independent brokers J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley will oversee the program, ensuring compliance with regulatory standards.

 

Severn Trent reported strong financial results for the first half of 2024, marking its highest year of capital investment and achieving significant growth in Regulatory Capital Value. The company said it is well-positioned for AMP8, with plans for substantial investments in sustainability and infrastructure, including a commitment to net zero emissions by 2030. These developments have resulted in increased earnings per share and a robust financial outlook.

 

Broker Comments:

AstraZeneca Upgraded to Neutral from Sell by UBS (16 Buy/ 3 Hold/ 0 Sell)

 

EasyJet Downgraded to Hold by HSBC (16 Buy/ 5 Hold/ 0 Sell)

 

United Utilities Upgraded to Buy from Hold by Deutsche Bank (8 Buy/ 3 Hold/ 2 Sell)

 

Reporting Today:

UK

 

British Land Co

HICL Infrastructure

Mitchells & Butlers*

Molton Ventures*

Ninety One

Rotork

Sage Group

Severn Trent

Softcat*

Britvic

Crest Nicholson

 

 

US

 

NIO

NVIDIA

Palo Alto Networks

Snowflake

Reporting Tomorrow:

UK

 

Breedon Group

Close Brothers Group

Grainger

Halma

Investec*

Ithaca Energy

JD Sports Fashion

Mitie Group

 

 

US

 

Baidu

Deere & Co

Intuit

 

In Focus Today:

 

PBoC Interest Rate Decision

German Producer Price Index

UK Consumer Price Index

UK Producer Price Index

UK Retail Price Index

BoE’s Ramsden speech

 

 

Tomorrow’s Ex-Dividends:

UK 100 companies going ex-dividend on 21st November 2024:

 

National Grid

Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust

Vodafone Group

DCC

UK 250 companies going ex-dividend on 21st November 2024:

 

Volution Group

BlackRock Greater Europe Inv Trust

Tate & Lyle

Urban Logistics REIT

RS Group

Empiric Student Property

Kainos Group

3i Infrastructure

Temple Bar Investment Trust

HICL Infrastructure

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