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Morning Report - 16 January 2024

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Price (p) % Chg
Flutter Entertainment PLC 13,140.0 2.7%
Admiral Group PLC 2,621.0 1.5%
Tesco PLC 300.8 1.3%
International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. 145.9 1.0%
Associated British Foods PLC 2,288.0 1.0%
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Price (p) % Chg
Ocado Group PLC 619.4 -5.0%
Burberry Group PLC 1,222.4 -4.9%
B&M European Value Retail S.A. 552.4 -2.6%
St. James’s Place PLC 623.0 -2.3%
HSBC Holdings PLC 597.0 -2.2%
Major World Indices Price % Chg 1 YEAR
UK 100 INDEX 7,588 -0.5% -3.2%
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG 37,593 -0.3% 9.6%
DAX INDEX 16,634 -0.4% 10.3%
NIKKEI 225 35,902 0.9% 39.0%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 7,496 0.0% 1.5%
Commodities Units Price % Chg
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) USD/bbl. 71.76 -1.27%
Brent Crude (ICE) USD/bbl. 77.41 -1.12%
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 2,053 0.2%
Copper (Comex) USd/lb. 378 1.1%
The UK 100 called to open -28 points at 7,566

4 Hours; 5 Months

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

The UK 100 called to open -28 points at 7,566. The UK 100 looks set to open lower despite slightly better-than-expected data on average earnings.  The Office for National Statistic’s data showed annual growth in regular earnings (excluding bonuses) was 6.6% in September to November 2023, and annual growth in employees’ average total earnings (including bonuses) was 6.5% in September to November 2023.  These compared to forecasts of 6.6% and 6.8% respectively.  The unemployment rate was largely unchanged on the quarter to November at 4.2%.  US markets were closed yesterday for Martin Luther King day.  In Asia this morning, Hong Kong led declines in Asia-Pacific markets on Tuesday, with Japanese stocks also halting their record-breaking rally that has seen benchmark indexes hit multi-decade highs.  Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index shed 2.01%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 index fell 0.48%.  The Nikkei 225 dropped 0.79% to close at 35,619.18, snapping a six-day winning streak. The broad-based Topix fell 0.82% to 2,503.98.  Japan’s December corporate goods price index came in flat year on year, compared with a 0.30% fall expected by economists in a Reuters poll. The CGPI climbed 0.30% month on month, compared with estimates of it remaining flat.

 

 

Company News & Broker Comments:

Company News:

Experian posted a 9% rise in Q3 revenue, powered by strong demand for it new products and business wins, especially in the Latin America region. They now expect their annual organic revenue growth to be between 5-6%, compared to an earlier forecast of 4-6% growth.

 

Ocado Group state they will meet their forecast for a return to positive earnings for FY 2022/23 after reporting Q4 revenue growth of 10.9%. They also hit their highest ever level of sales over the peak Christmas trading period.

 

Qinetiq reports ”good performance” in Q3, with YTD orders at around £1.35bn.

 

Rio Tinto reported a 1% fall in its iron ore shipments in Q4, even as they ramped up production at their Guadi Darri mine in Western Australia.

 

Vodafone are to invest $1.5bn over 10 years in cloud and AI services with Microsoft.

 

Broker Comments:

Berenberg Downgrades Rolls-Royce to Sell from Hold (8 buys / 5 holds / 1 sell)

 

Berenberg Upgrades Direct Line to Buy from Hold (5 Buys / 5 Holds / 0 Sells)

 

CitiGroup Downgrades Drax Group to Sell from Buy (2 buys / 2 holds / 1 sell)

 

Goldman Sachs Downgrades ITV to Sell from Neutral (4 Buys / 3 Holds / 1 Sell)

 

Jefferies Downgrades Crest Nicholson Holdings to Hold from Buy (4 Buys / 3 Holds / 0 Sells)

 

Jefferies Upgrades Persimmon to Buy from Hold (3 Buys / 12 Holds / 1 Sell)

 

Peel Hunt Downgrades Taylor Wimpey to Hold from Add (8 Buys / 6 Holds / 0 Sells)

Reporting Today:

UK

 

Experian

IntegraFin Holdings

Ninety One

Ocado Group

Rio Tinto

 

 

US

 

Goldman Sachs

Morgan Stanley

Reporting Tomorrow:

UK

 

Antofagasta

Bankers Investment Trust

Diploma

Ibstock

Pearson

Rathbone Brothers

Safestore Holdings

Smiths Group

 

US

 

None

 

 

In Focus Today:

EU EcoFin Meeting

German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices

UK Claimant Count Change

UK ILO Unemployment Rate

UK Employment Change

EU ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment

German ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment

German ZEW Survey – Current Situation

US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

 

This Week’s Ex-Dividends:

UK 100 companies going ex-dividend on 18th January 2023:

 

B&M European Value Retail S.A.

Compass Group

Diploma

 

 

UK 250 companies going ex-dividend on 18th January 2023:

 

 

NB Private Equity Partners

Games Workshop Group

Future

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