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UK Index Focus - 19 April 2018

The UK UK Index trades near highs of the day, thanks to yet more GBP weakness (more so vs USD than EUR) in the wake of disappointing UK Retail Sales for March (bad weather to blame) and a brace of House of Lords defeats for the government on Brexit consultation. Higher Oil and Metals prices continue to support sentiment towards Commodity-sensitive resources stocks, along with a drip-feeding of M&A news.

UK 100  +15pts thanks to outsized contributions from STAN/HSBC (Asia exposure, positive US Banks results, own results in May), SHP (M&A hopes), RDSb (higher oil, weaker GBP), WPP (Publicis results, relief after Sorrel?), DGE (weaker GBP, Pernod + Remy Cointreau results), AZN (Novartis results, drug approval) and select Miners (higher metals & oil). Aside ex-dividends (LLOY, SLA, BAES), the only real drag stems from ULVR (Q1 sales) and NG (still pausing after rally).

The UK Index 100 is holding yesterday’s breakout above Monday’s 7317 highs, testing the ceiling of a 7317-7335 range and thus showing appetite for another breakout that would open the door to a rally towards rising April resistance around 7400.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7190? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7400?

The UK Index 100 is holding yesterday’s breakout above Monday’s 7317 highs, testing the ceiling of a 7317-7335 range and thus showing appetite for another breakout that would open the door to a rally towards rising April resistance around 7400.

Watch levels: Bullish 7340, Bearish 7315

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend to pause
  • Potential support: 7325, 7317, 7300, 7270,. 7250, 7210
  • Potential resistance: 7340, 7345, 7355, 7360, 7395, 7400

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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