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Index Focus - 5 July 2017

Equities are pretty flat today as geopolitical risk weighs on bullishness, awaiting news on Qatar’s response to Arab demands and following recent rumblings on the Korean peninsula. The USD has resumed its July bounce fuelling a pullback for oil and metals to further hampering risk appetite. However, parallel weakening in GBP and EUR is tempering weakness in the UK Index and DAX before US bourses return from yesterday’s Independence day break.

The UK 100 is flat to down, as losses for Oil majors (crude price drop), GSK (Citi downgrade) and UK Banks (less change of a BoE hike?) and NG (interest rate sensitive) offset gains for Miners (copper strike threat), BATS (defensive), TSCO (BOK results), RR (Jefferies upgrade) and Worldpay (M&A). Germany’s DAX sees weakness in Autos (weak UK New car registrations) offset standout strength for Adidas (HSBC upgrade), ThyssenKrupp (Tata UK pension deal) and Lufthansa.

The UK Index 100 is trading in a 7345-7390 channel, flirting with both support and resistance. Can it break higher? The DAX 30 is oscillating around 12450 within a 12400-15500 channel. Break higher or lower? Dow Jones Futures are hemmed in between flat support at 21460 and falling highs at 21500. Bullish flag, or bearish descending triangle? Gold is back testing $1220, potentially on the second leg of a bearish flag back to $1200.

Click below to expand sections for more detailed analysis

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall below lows of 7295? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7560?
  • Watch levels: Bullish 7380, Bearish 7340

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways within downtrend
  • Potential support: 7345, 7340, 7330, 7320, 7300
  • Potential resistance: 7370, 7380, 7385, 7400, 7420, 7440, 7480

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall below lows of 12,310? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 12,950?
  • Watch levels: Bullish 12500, Bearish 12400

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways within downtrend
  • Potential support: 12450, 12430, 12400, 12350, 12300
  • Potential resistance: 12480, 12500, 12550, 12600

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 21,200? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 21,565?
  • Watch levels: Bullish 21,510; Bearish 21,485

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways within uptrend
  • Potential support: 21485, 21460, 21450, 21440, 21420, 21400, 21350, 21300
  • Potential resistance: 21505, 21510, 21525, 21565, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,195? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,295?
  • Watch levels: Bullish $1222; Bearish $1218

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend, reversal
  • Potential support: 1220, 1219, 1217.5, 1214, 1210, 1200, 1195
  • Potential resistance: 1222, 1225, 1226.5, 1229, 1235, 1240, 1245, 1248, 1250

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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