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Index Focus - 31 January 2018

Equities are off their worst levels, but unable to do much better than sideways, consolidating the losses of the last two days. Trump’s State of the Union went smoothly, and no fireworks are expected from Janet Yellen’s last Fed meeting. But markets continue to digest the cocktail of a weak USD, rising bond yields, a still high oil price and equity market jitters about overvaluation. This ahead of a plethora of big name quarterly results and of course Friday’s US Jobs report.

The UK UK Index underperforms, in spite of GBP being weaker than EUR, with notable weakness among Housebuilders (“use-it or lose it” planning permission). However, the drag really comes from risk assets (Oil, Miners), Banks (EU rejection of City of London proposals on Financial services fee trade), healthcare (US competition, Trump pledge to cut drug prices), depriving it of 10pts, with a limited 7pt positive contrition from currency-sensitive defensives (ULVR, BATS, BAES).

The UK Index 100 continues to test 7575-80 for support. The DAX 30 is closing in on the apex of a bullish falling wedge. Dow Jones Futures remain hampered by falling highs resistance at 26200. Gold’s support at $1337 suggests a new channel?

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7,434? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7,805?

The UK Index 100 continues to test 7575-80 for support, in a clear downtrend. Consolidation before another down-leg?

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7,590, Bearish 7,575

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 7575, 7550, 7517, 7434
  • Potential resistance: 7584, 7600, 7605, 7650, 7685, 7700

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,675 or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 13,601?

The DAX 30 is closing in on the apex of a bullish falling wedge. Break higher?

  • Watch levels: Bullish 13235; Bearish 13170

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 13200, 13170, 13140, 13015
  • Potential resistance: 13235, 13235, 13260, 13300, 13400

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 25,600? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs above 26,705?

Dow Jones Futures  remain hampered by falling highs resistance at 26200. Is that a Bearish pennant?

  • Watch levels: Bullish 26,180 Bearish 26,130

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 26140, 26125, 26100, 26080, 26040, 25900
  • Potential resistance: 26190, 26200, 26215, 26270, 26300, 26330

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,299? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,375?

Gold’s support at $1337 suggests a new rising channel?

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1344, Bearish $1341

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1342, 1341, 1340, 1337, 1331, 1326
  • Potential resistance: 1344, 1345, 1349, 1357, 1366, 1357

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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