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Index Focus - 20 October 2017

Equities are back positive thanks to overnight progress on the topic of US tax reform that has revived investor appetite for risk in the wake of a two-day wobble. Increased confidence in US growth, and thus further Fed rate hikes, has sent USD higher to the detriment of GBP, EUR and, of course safe-haven Gold, making for a positive final session for the UK UK Index and German DAX, while futures suggest US indices will follow suit this afternoon.

The UK UK 100  is up thanks to positive contributions from Banks (US tax reform supportive of Fed rate hike), BATS/CRH (US exposure, weaker GBP), RIO/GLEN/ANTO (base metals rally, despite USD strength) trumping the drag from ULVR/RB (still digesting poor results), BP (strong USD, lower oil price) and ABF (profit taking from 18M highs).

The German DAX is up thanks to gains for Deutsche Boerse (reports considered merger with MSCI), Deutsche Bank & Munich Re (tax reform supportive of higher rates), Lufthansa (preview ahead of Q3 results), Siemens (GE results disappointed in US) and HeidelbergCement, overpowering losses for Commerzbank (less US exposure), SAP (still digesting results) and Vonovia (property prefers loose monetary policy).

The UK Index 100 sits 7525-7555 with an upside bias. The DAX 30 holds its uptrend recovery from 12920. Dow Jones Futures could be in the midst of a bullish flag pause before another rally to 23050. Gold has pulled back to $1280 amid tax cut hopes inspired USD strength, maintaining appetite for risk over safe havens.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7,485? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards record highs of 7,600?

The UK Index 100 sits 7525-7555 with an upside bias.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7,555, Bearish 7,525

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 7525, 7500, 7485
  • Potential resistance: 7555, 7565, 7600

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,910? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 13,095?

The DAX holds its uptrend recovery from 12920, intersecting support now back in play.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 13040, Bearish 13,010

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 13020, 13010, 13000, 12990, 12960, 12940, 12920
  • Potential resistance: 13060, 13075, 13095

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 22,800? or;
  2. Will the index rise to fresh highs of 23,350

Dow Jones Futures could be in the midst of a bullish flag pause before another rally to 23050.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 23,265; Bearish 23,225

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 23240, 23225, 23200, 23170, 23160
  • Potential resistance: 23260, 23280, 23300, 23350

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,262? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,306?

Gold has pulled back to $1280 amid tax cut hopes inspired USD strength, maintaining appetite for risk over safe havens.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1284, Bearish $1280

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1282, 1281, 1280, 1277, 1275, 1270, 1265, 1260
  • Potential resistance: 1284, 1286, 1290, 1296, 1298,, 1302, 1306

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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