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Index Focus - 19 December 2017

The equity index compass remains pointed north on a combination of US tax reform optimism, traditional year-end Santa Rally and stable but limited macro data. That said, geopolitics still in very much play with ANC leadership change in South Africa, some welcome Brexit respite and Saudi Arabia intercepting a ballistic missile.

The UK UK Index is higher, albeit off its best levels as GBP recovers, thanks to out-sized contributions from BATS/IMB (weaker GBP, US tax reform), OML (unit sale, stronger ZAR), AAL (USD weakness, stable metals), GSK (defensive), STAN (Asia exposure, World bank China growth upgrade) and CRH (US exposure). Any drag relates to ABF (broker downgrade), RB (tech resistance), AZN (consolidating) and RDSb (flat oil).

Germany’s DAX underperforms amid a EUR rebound, led lower by Infineon (broker downgrade), Deutsche Bank (US banks facing write-downs after tax reform?), ProSieben (media outlook) and Fresenius overpowering gains for Lufthansa, BMW (Credit Suisse sector upgrade), HeidelbergCement (US exposure) and ThyssenKrupp.

The UK Index 100 is back from day highs, but only 50pts from its record. The DAX 30 has found resistance at 13325. Dow Jones Futures remain close to another record high . Gold has broken and held above $1261.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7,195? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7,599

The UK Index 100 is back from day highs, but only 50pts from its record,

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7,565, Bearish 7,545

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 7545, 7535, 7525, 7500, 7475, 7450
  • Potential resistance: 7565, 7591, 7600

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,845 or;
  2. Will the index rise to record highs of 13,535?

The DAX 30 has found resistance at 13325 after yesterday’s 13200 breakout. Bullish flag?

Watch levels: Bullish 13,325; Bearish 13,265

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 13291, 13200, 13100,
  • Potential resistance: 13325, 13350, 13420, 13500, 13535

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 24,500? or;
  2. Will the index rise to a fresh highs of 24,900?

Dow Jones Futures remain close to another record high .

  • Watch levels: Bullish 24,860, Bearish 24,830

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 24830, 24800, 24770, 24730, 24680
  • Potential resistance: 24860, 24880, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,237? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,290?

Gold has broken and held above $1261.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1265, Bearish $1261

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1261, 1260, 1257, 1252
  • Potential resistance: 1265, 1270, 1277, 1290

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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