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Index Focus - 18 October 2017

Equities are positive, with the German DAX and US Dow Jones outperforming the UK UK 100 . Stateside sentiment remains bullish thanks to more Wall St record highs and earnings beating expectations. A strong USD, and the prospect of ECB QE lasting longer, has pushed the EUR lower to the glee of German exporters. The UK Index is flat as GBP recovers from its lows following solid inflationary wages data that is supportive of a Bank of England rate hike.

A flat UK UK 100  sees HSBC (defensive), RDSb (API drawdown), ULVR (preferred after RB profit warning), PRU (defensive), DGE/GSK/ABF (weaker GBP) in a tug of war with RIO (fraud allegations), RB (profits warning), BP (GBP off lows) and SHP (US shares -2% in US last night).

The German DAX outperforms with strength across the board, most notably from ProSiebenSat.1, Vonovia (ECB loose policy), Fresenius Medical, Beiersdorf and SAP, overpowering minimal drag from HeidelbergCement and Deutsche Boerse (broker downgrades for both).

The UK Index 100 remains around the 7545 upper bounds of its narrowing pattern. The DAX 30 has broken out to fresh highs above 13040. Dow Jones Futures trade fresh record highs 23065. Gold continues its bearish H&S top reversal back towards $1275.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7,460? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards record highs of 7,600?

The UK Index 100 remains around the 7545 upper bounds of its narrowing pattern. Long lower tails of late are bullish. RSI suggests index close to a break higher or lower

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7,550, Bearish 7,520

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 7530, 7523, 7513, 7510, 7506, 7500, 7485, 7470, 7440
  • Potential resistance: 7545, 7550, 7560, 7565, 7600, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,920? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 13,095?

The DAX 30 has broken out to fresh highs >13040. Rising channel extended.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 13020, Bearish 13,000

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 13050, 13035, 13020, 13010, 13000, 12970, 12950, 12920
  • Potential resistance: 13070, 13095, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 22,860? or;
  2. Will the index rise to fresh highs above 23,065

Dow Jones Futures trade fresh record highs 23065. Uptrend accelerated. Resistance turned support. RSI in upper half remains bullish

  • Watch levels: Bullish 23,070; Bearish 23,040

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 23060, 23040, 23020, 23000, 2960
  • Potential resistance: 23065, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,262? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,305?

Gold continues its bearish H&S top reversal back towards $1275.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1285, Bearish $1280

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1280, 1275, 1270, 1262
  • Potential resistance: 1285, 1290, 1295, 1300, 1305

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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