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Index Focus - 18 May 2017

Equity indices are once again struggling as a Washington DC-inspired risk-off mood moves into a second day, global media relentless in its quest for more White House scoops. However, the European pull back remains relatively subdued in the wake of the worst US session since September showing that, despite the talk, investors aren’t reaching for the panic button yet.

The UK 100  is underperforming peers as dividends compound the risk-off move. Leading the index lower are heavyweights RDS & BP (Oil price off highs, RDS ex-div), HSBC (ex-div), GLEN (Copper weakness), Banks and Healthcare (waning US optimism). Limited support is offered by BRBY (positive results), Utilities (Defensive safe haven) and Retail (UK Retail Sales beat). Germany’s DAX is suffering from persistent EUR strength, hurting exporters, while Banks and Industry also weigh. Note Wall Street futures outperforming as investors take stock of Wednesday’s 370 point sell-off.

The UK Index 100 is testing 7400 intersecting support having broken through a duo of support at 7448 former all-time highs. The DAX 30 has recovered from test of 12500, however remains weak. Note potential bearish flag pattern emerging Dow Jones Futures have broken below support at 20,625, although are yet to fall below 20,500. Gold’s rebound has now overcome $1260, bringing back into play 2017 rising lows support.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7350? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7535?

The UK Index 100 is testing 7400 intersecting support having broken through a duo of support at 7448 former all-time highs.

Watch levels: Bullish 7425, Bearish 7390

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 7400, 7395, 7390, 7385, 7367, 7360, 7350
  • Potential resistance: 7410, 7425, 7435, 7440, 7450, 7460, 7470, 7485

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,225? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 12,875?

The DAX 30 has recovered from test of 12500, however remains weak. Note potential bearish flag pattern emerging

Watch levels: Bullish 12540, Bearish 12508

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways/Downtrend
  • Potential support: 12520, 12508, 12495, 12490, 12475, 12430, 12415, 12405
  • Potential resistance: 12532, 12560, 12580, 12600, 12640

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 20,375? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 21,070?

Dow Jones Futures have broken below support at 20,625, although are yet to fall below 20,500.

Watch levels: Bullish 20545; Bearish 20512

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways/Downtrend
  • Potential support: 20500, 20450, 20435, 20395, 20375, 20315
  • Potential resistance: 20550, 20600, 20630, 20650, 20680, 20750

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall below lows of $1,120? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,970?

Gold’s rebound has now overcome $1262, bringing back into play 2017 rising lows support.

Watch levels: Bullish $1265; Bearish $1254

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1263, 1262, 1260, 1259, 1258, 1257, 1255, 1254
  • Potential resistance: 1265, 1271, 1276, 1280, 1285, 1295

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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