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Index Focus - 17 October 2017

Equities are flat, but holding close to their highs as investors continue to look through geopolitical risk, increasingly at ease with the prospect of tighter monetary policy. Confidence is high of yet another supportive earnings season on both sides of the Atlantic, as are hopes of US congressional and UK/EU deadlocks being broken, allowing Trump to deliver on tax reform and the door to be opened for further Brexit negotiations.

UK UK 100  is flat, buoyed by RDSb (oil price bounce), BARC/HSBC/RBS (expectations of UK rate hike), BATS (weaker GBP) PSON (share buyback) and AZN (drug news) offsetting weakness from MERL (profits warning), GLEN/RIO (Copper off highs; RIO lowers guidance), SLA (profit taking) and SHP.

The German DAX, also flat, sees gains for Infineon (BoA sees growth acceleration) and E.On counter losses for the likes of Merck, Bayer (EU deadline freeze for Monsanta deal remains) and ThyssenKrupp (will not spin off Tata JV next 2-3yrs).

The UK Index 100 has bounced from 7505 to regain its 7520-7560 channel. The DAX 30 may now be in a new falling channel, still around 13000. Dow Jones Futures remain close to 22965 fresh record highs, still in a rising channel. Gold has broken below $1290 to trigger a potential bearish H&S top reversal back to $1275.

Click below to expand sections for more detailed analysis

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7,460? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards record highs of 7,600?

The UK Index 100 has bounced from 7505 to regain its 7520-7560 channel. Stronger USD vs GBP, despite strong UK inflation, helping internationally exposed names while banks like the prospect of rate hikes.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7,540, Bearish 7,520

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 7530, 7520, 7510, 7500, 7485, 7460
  • Potential resistance: 7540, 7550, 7560, 7565, 7600

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,910? or;
  2. Will the index rise above record highs above 13,040?

The DAX 30 may now be in a new falling channel, still around 13000

  • Watch levels: Bullish 13020, Bearish 13,000

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 13000, 12990, 12980, 12965, 12950, 12920, 12910
  • Potential resistance: 13015, 13020, 13025, 13030, 13040, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 22,740? or;
  2. Will the index rise to fresh highs above 22,965

Dow Jones Futures remain close to 22965 fresh record highs, still in a rising channel.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 22,965; Bearish 22,940

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 22940, 22920, 22900, 22890, 22860, 22850, 22820, 22800
  • Potential resistance: 22965, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,262? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,305?

Gold has broken below $1290 to trigger a potential bearish H&S top reversal back to $1275. Stronger USD hindering the safe haven.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1291, Bearish $1288

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1287.5, 1285, 1280, 1275, 1270, 1262
  • Potential resistance: 1290, 1295, 1300, 1305

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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