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UK 100 Focus - 2 July 2018

The UK 100 has extended Friday’s reversal and sell-off, starting this new week much like it did the previous. The result is an evaporation of most of last week’s rebound from April lows support, the driver being a mix of things, including political difficulties for Chancellor Merkel on migration and PM May on Brexit, coupled with mixed PMI reads from China and Europe and, of course, continued worries about the threat of a US-inspired global trade war. No help from weaker GBP.

ContributorsUK Index -70pts, driven lower by heavyweights such as HSBC (China exposure, trade war worries), Miners (China PMIs, stronger USD, trade war fears), AZN/GSK/DGE (profit-taking after bounce), RDSB/BP (stronger USD, oil lower), Banks (risk-off, profit taking after bounce). Limited assistance from MCRO (selling unit for $2.5bn), RB (defensive)  and OCDO (TSCO deal with Carrefour).

Technicals: The UK 100 has bounced off 7540 but is struggling to get back above 7575.

Click below to expand sections for more detailed analysis

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7485 (-75pts) ? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7705 (+144pts)?

The UK 100 has bounced off 7540 but is struggling to get back above 7575.

Watch levels: Bullish 7575, Bearish 7540

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend, within sideways shift
  • Potential support: 7560, 7550, 7540, 7530, 7510, 7485
  • Potential resistance: 7575, 7590, 7600, 7635, 7650, 7680, 7705

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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