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FX – The week ahead, Monday 22 Feb

Macro observations

  • Brexit the main driver this week, with uncertainty dragging the pound down against all major currencies

Key data this week (click here for full rundown)

  • US: Markit manufacturing PMI (Mon); Consumer confidence, Case-Schiller, Existing home sales (Tue); PMI, New home sales, Crude inventories (Weds); Employment data, Durable goods orders, House price index (Thurs); Trade balance, GDP, Personal finance (Fri)
  • UK: House purchase loans (Wed); GDP (Thurs)
  • EU: German GDP & IFO (Tue); German consumer confidence, Eurozone CPI (Thurs); French GDP, German CPI (Fri)

GBP/USD (‘Cable’)

GBP/USD (15-min)

GBPUSD 15min (-)

 

GBP/USD (daily)

GBPUSD daily (-)

 

Technicals (based on daily price data unless otherwise stated)

  • Significant pullback from 50-day MA
  • Stochastics oversold

 

EUR/USD

EUR/USD (15-min)   

EURUSD 15min (-)

 

EUR/USD (daily)

EURUSD daily (-)

Technicals (based on daily price data unless otherwise stated)

  • Break below 20-day MA
  • Potential support at 200-day MA 1.10268
  • Momentum negative
  • Stochastics oversold

 GBP/EUR

GBP/EUR (15-min)

GBPEUR 15min (-)

 

GBP/EUR (daily)

GBPEUR daily (-)

 

Technicals (based on daily price data unless otherwise stated)

  • Converging support & resistance
  • Bullish divergence on Momentum, Stochastics and RSI
  • Pressure building for breakout?
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