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Ryanair: Engineering for a guidance beat

Shares in low-cost carrier Ryanair are +2.5% in spite of an uncharacteristically downbeat surprise profits warning. Or was it? After a strong 2018, with profits +10%, the worse outlook is being pinned on rising staff costs, now that it is recognising unions, and falling air fares amid fierce price competition, both likely to eat into…

UK 100 : Are you ready to tumble?

The UK Index has been rallying hard, flirting with fresh record highs, on the combined benefit of high oil prices and a weaker GBP, lifting the spirits (and investment accounts) of many bullishly-minded investors Have we gone too fast, too far? Does anyone out there honestly think that the current market rally is unstoppable and that we…

BT: Profitable either way

This week, one of our recent trade ideas, on BT, came within a whisker of our profit limit. As nice as that was for clients, what was even better were the three valuable lessons on offer about profiting from short-term moves within longer-term trends, and continually reviewing all open trades. Lesson #1 – Long-term trends, Short-term trades…

AstraZeneca: Trust me (on guidance), I’m a doctor

AstraZeneca may not be the UK Index ’s heaviest faller this morning (that prize goes to JMAT). However, by virtue of its heavyweight status (2.9% weighting) it is inflicting the most damage, taking almost 6pts off the index. This comes after Q1 results missed consensus expectations; revenues by a shade, profits by rather more, as…

Ocado: Another Deal to Squeeze Bears

Shares in Ocado, the online grocery delivery platform, soared +44% to fresh record highs on news of another licensing agreement, this time with Kroger, which would allow the US supermarket giant to use Ocado software to strengthen its own grocery-delivery network. Kroger will, of course, pay licensing fees to use Ocado platform. Interestingly, however, it…

Crest Nicholson: The big squeeze

Crest Nicholson has dealt a blow to UK Housebuilders this morning with a profits warnings attributable to flat pricing and higher building costs (up 3-4%). While its own shares have plunged more than 12%, re-testing March lows, the read-across is understandably weighing on sector peers which trade 0.8-1.7% lower; Redrow worst off, Taylor Wimpey resisting…

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