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BT: Sorry, the number you have dialled….

It’s been a while since BT shares were top of the UK Index pile, and it was fleeting to say the least. Q3 financials were in-line with expectations, and management confident in reiterating 2017 guidance, but the shares have already breached this week’s 260p support.

Income investors welcome the sweetener of an interim dividend fixed at 30% of the prior full-year pay-out. Sceptics point to no update on the pensions review, a still significant overhang. Restructuring on-track to deliver savings and the integration of EE progressing well is clearly insufficient for investors to consider engineering a bullish reversal.

Having opened a healthy 2.5% higher (most positive start since 3 April; +2.3%), and traded as high as +2.8% (best since 27 July; +2.3%), the shares are now firmly in the red, down 1.3% to trade fresh multi-year lows.

An initially positive response has already given way to the downtrend that has dragged the shares 50% from Feb 2016 highs of £5. Investors clearly require more than a 6% yield.

Will good news be forthcoming to help the shares up 4% to challenge accelerated Oct falling highs at 267.8p? Or is the next stop 9% lower at 233p, resistance-turned-support from December 2012, and the current down channel’s floor?

Mike van Dulken, Head of Reserch, 2 Nov 2017

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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