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Morning Report - 15 January 2025

Yesterday’s UK 100 Leaders Price (p) % Chg
Persimmon PLC 1,122.5 6.3%
Ashtead Group PLC 5,068.0 4.2%
Pershing Square Holdings LTD 4,162.0 2.8%
St. James’s Place PLC 829.5 2.7%
Airtel Africa PLC 119.2 2.7%
Yesterday’s UK 100 Laggards Price (p) % Chg
Jd Sports Fashion PLC 90.0 -6.5%
Games Workshop Group PLC 12690.0 -4.1%
Croda International PLC 3081.0 -3.5%
BP PLC 419.6 -2.7%
Next PLC 9103.5 -2.6%

 

Major World Indices Price % Chg 1 Year
UK 100 INDEX 8,202 -0.3% 7.6%
DOW JONES INDUS. AVG 42,518 0.5% 13.1%
DAX INDEX 20,271 0.7% 21.4%
NIKKEI 225 38,474 -1.8% 7.2%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 8,231 0.5% 9.8%
Commodities Units Price % Chg
WTI Crude Oil (Nymex) USD/bbl. 78.09 -0.93%
Brent Crude (ICE) USD/bbl. 80.34 -0.83%
Gold Spot USD/t oz. 2,678 0.5%
Copper (Comex) USd/lb. 435 0.5%

 

The UK 100 called to open +7 points at 8,231

4 Hours; 7 Months

Click graph to enlarge

Markets Overview:

The UK 100 called to open +40 points at 8,242.  The UK’s blue chip index looks set to open higher this morning after the office for national statistics this morning said that inflation had unexpectedly fell to 2.5% in December.

This rise comes on the back of a mixed session Stateside yesterday which saw the Dow Jones rise as traders weighed a lighter-than-expected producer price index report.  The 30-stock Dow gained 221.16 points, or 0.52%, to close at 42,518.28. The S&P advanced 0.11% to 5,842.91, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq slipped 0.23% to end at 19,044.39.

 

Company News & Broker Comments:

Company News:

Ashmore Group PLC reported a decline in assets under management by US$3.0 billion for the quarter ending December 2024, driven by net outflows and negative investment performance. Despite increased market volatility ahead of the US election, the company saw net inflows in equities and alternatives, indicating growing client recognition of emerging market opportunities. The company anticipates potential gains in emerging market assets with active management being crucial to capitalize on diverse investment opportunities.

 

Currys has raised profit guidance and pledged to resume dividend payments after the retailer reported a strong festive performance today.  Like-for-like sales rose by 2% in the UK and Ireland, fuelled by strong demand in mobile, gaming and premium computing. The Nordics arm rose 1%.  Profits for the April financial year are set to be between £145 million and £155 million, representing growth of up to 31% and ahead of the City consensus.

 

Experian reported a strong third quarter for FY25, with total revenue growth of 8% at constant exchange rates, reflecting solid underlying business trends. North America, constituting the majority of its revenue, showed robust growth, particularly in mortgages and automotive sectors, while Latin America and EMEA and Asia Pacific regions also demonstrated strong performance. Despite foreign exchange headwinds, Experian’s growth outlook remains positive with expectations of organic revenue growth between 6-8% for the full year, indicating resilience in its operations and strategic positioning across diverse markets.

 

Mitchells & Butlers, whose brands include Harvester and All Bar One, grew like-for-like sales by 10.4% over its peak three-week festive trading period.  Across the first quarter to 11 January, like-for-like sales rose 3.9%.  The chain said it faces an estimated £100 million of year-on-year cost headwinds in the current financial year, primarily increased labour costs.  Despite these pressures, it continues to forecast profit growth and market outperformance.

 

Serco Group PLC has secured a significant $247 million contract with the US Army to enhance soldier readiness and performance through the Holistic Health and Fitness System. This contract, starting immediately, demonstrates Serco’s strong position in the defence sector, supporting 45 US Army brigades across 15 locations in the US. Following previous major US defence contracts, this win highlights Serco’s comprehensive support capabilities from recruitment to veteran assistance, reinforcing its strategic focus on the defence sector as its largest global market.

 

Vistry, Britain’s largest homebuilder by output, said on Wednesday that market conditions for the current fiscal year remained uncertain, and also reiterated its 2024 earnings forecast.  The pace of recovery in the British housing sector is under scrutiny, as a slower-than-expected reduction in interest rates hampers affordability, while rising build-cost inflation continues to put pressure on the market.  The UK 100 builder, which generates majority of its sales through partnerships with local authorities, housing associations and government providers, said the outcome of the UK government’s spending review and the transition to a new Affordable Homes Programme would be crucial in driving momentum in both open and partner-funded markets.

 

Broker Comments:

No New Broker Comments

 

 

Reporting Today:

UK

 

Currys*

Experian*

Vistry Group

Hays

 

 

US

 

BlackRock

Citigroup Inc

Goldman Sachs

JPMorgan Chase & Co

Wells Fargo & Co

Reporting Tomorrow:

UK

 

Antofagasta

Rathbone Brothers

 

US

 

Bank of America Corp

Morgan Stanley

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

UnitedHealth Group

In Focus Today:

UK Consumer Price Index

UK Producer Price Index

UK Retail Price Index

EU Industrial Production s.a.

US Consumer Price Index

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

Fed’s Goolsbee speech

Fed’s Beige Book

Tomorrow’s Ex-Dividends:

UK 100 companies going ex-dividend on 16th January 2025:

 

Compass Group

Diploma

UK 250 companies going ex-dividend on 16th January 2025:

 

WH Smith

Grainger

Foresight Group Holdings

Future

B&M European Value Retail S.A.

TwentyFour Income Fund

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