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UK 100 Focus - 2 August 2018

The UK 100 is down 100pts (-1.2%), below 3-week lows, as trade war concerns dent general risk appetite with Trump threatening to increase tariffs on $200bn of China goods from 10% to 25%. Along with a stronger USD after last night’s Fed update (“steady as she goes”), metals and Miners are thus hurting. Even reciprocal GBP weakness vs USD (traditionally a benefit to the UK Index ) is failing to help many of the big names ahead of a likely Bank of England rate hike.

Contributors: UK Index -85pts, driven lower by HSBA (heavyweight, Asia exposure, risk-off), Energy (oil prices lower), Miners (trade war fears, stronger USD), PRU/RBS/STAN/LGEN (risk-off), GSK/AZN/VOD/ULVR (profit-taking), BARC (results, risk-off). Offering meagre support are just RR and LSE  after their latest results.

Technicals: The UK 100 has fallen below 3-week 7562 support to trade close to July 7540 lows

Click below to expand sections for more detailed analysis

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7485 (-65pts) ? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7787 (+235pts)?

The UK 100 has fallen below 3-week 7562 support to trade close to July 7540 lows

Watch levels: Bullish 7570, Bearish 7540

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend, sideways
  • Potential support: 7539, 7511, 7485
  • Potential resistance: 7562, 7580, 7600, 7615, 7632

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research
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