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Home / Trade Alert / Buy – Royal Dutch Shell B

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Buy – Royal Dutch Shell B - 31 May 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 2686p
  • Stop Loss: 2633p (53p/2.0% below)
  • Profit Limit: 2860p (174p/6.5% above)
  • Reward vs Risk: 3.3x
  • CFD Margin: 3%

Observations – For

  • Bullish bounce off 2684p
  • Prior resistance-turned-support
  • Bullish cross by Directional Indicators

Observations – Against

  • First day of the breakout
  • RSI and Stochastics neutral
  • No breakout on Point & Figure chart

Analyst Comments

Potential of a bullish breakout following a rebound from week lows, backed by recovery in oil prices amid global supply uncertainty. First day of breakout from early May resistance turned support. Broader recovery in the UK Index , as market nerves are calmer on geopolitical issues, supports the potential for a breakout. Attractive forecast dividend yield (5.18%) makes the stock attractive for many investors.

Broker consensus is bullish, with 60% of analysts saying Buy, with only 20% recommending selling. Oil market potential keeps the door open for the remaining 20% of Neutrals to reassess and upgrade their recommendations.

Average Target Price from previous 2 weeks (2924p) is well above our profit limit. Most brokers are strongly bullish on the target price, with all 8 brokers having target prices above current levels. Most bullish 12-month target is from Exane BNP Paribas (3450p), while most bearish is Panmure Gordon (2700p).

Next Event: Q2 Results, 26 Jul

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  60% Buy, 20% Hold, 20% Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

12-month (daily): Stochastics, MACD, ADX (Trend strength), RSI and Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -1.8 3.4 15.9 12.6 24.2 60.1 36.3 10.5 16.7
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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