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Sell in May – P4 – Randgold

Randgold Resources (RRS)

Miner Randgold Resources, which develops gold deposits in West and Central Africa, has been another stable May-to-September performer. Although the stock’s recent declines have disappointed bullishly-minded investors in 2018 (YTD -20.5%), it has tended to perform well during the summer months.

Since 2001, Randgold has delivered positive performance in 12 out of 17 years (2001-2017, 71% positive rate), with an average stock price increase of 11.6%. Its best performing May-to-September period was in 2002 when the shares rose over 51%, while its worst performing Target Period was in 2015 (-26.6%).

(Source: CMC Markets, Date: 02.05.2018)

  • With gold mining companies often seen by investors as an alternative to owning physical gold itself, the share price of Randgold has often reflected general sentiment for precious metals
  • Despite starting the year on a positive note and reporting record output, Randgold’s share price has suffered amid concerns regarding geopolitical stability in Africa
  • In April, Randgold’s stock traded a low of the year, which could mean support now around 5571p
  • Investors need to decide if the stock will continue underperforming due to political worries, or whether the resilience of the gold market will push the stock up over 6000p resistance

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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