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UK 100 Focus - 8 May 2018

The UK 100 is holding positive territory, but only just, as traders return from a long weekend. Buoying sentiment is more M&A (healthcare, challenger banks) and positive China trade data supporting Miners. However, investors are also alert to the risk of Trump ditching the Iran nuclear deal. GBP remains depressed, flattering the index amid Brexit & Overestimate uncertainty, although the latest leg lower for GBP/USD is more a function of USD strength than GBP weakness.

Contributors: UK Index +5pts; out-sized positive contributions from ULVR (share buyback), Shire (takeover bid), LLOY (technical rebound) and AZN (Seroquel licensing, Lynparza approval). These, however, are being offset by a big drag from BP/RDSb (heavyweights, oil off highs), HSBC (Goldman highlights Q1 costs), GSK (better news for AZN & SHP), STAN (still digesting Q1 results), BATS (bond proxies still being shunned) and VOD (range-bound).

Technicals: UK 100 back from a flirt with a breakout above 7600. April uptrend towards 7800 record highs still valid, but angle of ascent slowed. Channel floor still valid at 7535.

Click below to expand sections for more detailed analysis

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7335 (-230pts/-3.0%) ? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7700 (+135pts/+1.8%)?

UK 100  back from a flirt with a breakout above 7600. April uptrend towards 7800 record highs still valid, but angle of ascent slowed. Channel floor still valid at 7535.

Watch levels: Bullish 7580, Bearish 7560

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend, sideways
  • Potential support: 7560, 7535, 7520, 7490, 7465, 7425, 7400, 7355, 7335
  • Potential resistance: 7580, 7595, 7600, 7610, 7700

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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