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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
British Land Co PLC 543.5 3.5 0.6 17.51
Compass Group PLC 719.5 4.5 0.6 17.76
Lloyds Banking Group PLC 34.43 0.21 0.6 32.91
SSE PLC 1342 7 0.5 3.95
Admiral Group PLC 1179 6 0.5 38.38
Glencore International PLC 353.75 1.6 0.5 -9.76
Smith & Nephew PLC 665 3 0.5 6.31
Vodafone Group PLC 186.75 0.8 0.4 4.39
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Evraz PLC 259.2 -11.3 -4.2 -30.82
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC 357 -12.7 -3.4 -43.82
Xstrata PLC 907.5 -31.8 -3.4 -7.21
Kazakhmys PLC 716.5 -23.5 -3.2 -22.71
Vedanta Resources PLC 925 -26.5 -2.8 -8.87
Fresnillo PLC 1494 -30 -2 -2.16
Resolution Ltd 221.5 -4.3 -1.9 -11.89
Rolls-Royce Group PLC 849 -16 -1.8 13.73
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK 100 5824.37 -28.05 -0.48 4.52
11563.3 -54.8 -0.47 14.46
CAC 40 3480.58 -7.8 -0.22 10.15
DAX (Xetra) 7033.68 -7.2 -0.1 19.25
Dow Jones Industrial Average 13271.6 -3.6 -0.03 8.63
Nasdaq Comp. 3076.2 -0.38 -0.01 18.08
S&P 500 1418.13 -0.03 0 12.76
Nikkei 225 9156.92 -14.24 -0.16 8.30
Hang Seng 20019.03 -85.24 -0.42 8.60
S&P/ASX 200 4383.4 19.11 0.44 8.06
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil Light Sweet Composite 96.63 0.47 0.49 -2.39
Gold Composite 1625.25 3.75 0.23 3.76
Silver Composite 28.75 0.095 0.33 3.51
Palladium Composite 604.65 -3.15 -0.52 -7.94
Platinum Composite 1491.25 0.25 0.02 6.43
GBP/USD – US $ per £ 1.5733 0.15 1.31
EUR/USD – US$ per Euro 1.2373 0.17 -4.48
GBP/EUR – Euros per £ 1.2715 -0.03 5.98
UK Index called to open +20pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30     UK          Public Finances
  • 09:30     ES           12 & 18 month bond auction
  • 11:00     UK          CBI Trends
  • 11:00     EZ           EFSF bond auction
  • See Live Macro Calendar for all data, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires

UK 100 called to open +20pts, after US markets closed just under water with a lack of macro data to drive them and despite a focus on the possibility that the European Central bank (ECB) may be about to place a cap on eurozone sovereign borrowing costs (yields) which yields for troubled nations (Spain, Italy) fall back and sentiment towards the Eurozone improve. The ECB denied the German press reports, but markets liked the idea.

Asian markets again mixed, with not much of a lead from Wall Street, but much talk of the speculation surrounding the ECB’s ‘yields caps’ and the possibility that the situation in Europe is beginning to stabilise. All eyes also on US Federal Reserve (Fed) minutes on Wednesday which may give further signs on monetary stimulus (Quantitative easing, QE) which would likely boost risk appetite.

On the monetary stimulus front, China launched a huge injection of liquidity which goes further to dampen the chances of interest rate cuts/banks reserve rate requirement (RRR) which the markets would likely prefer as a means of rebooting the Chinese economy and helping world growth via demand for things like raw materials.

In the Commodities space Gold continues to push for August highs of $1626 on monetary stimulus hopes (more signs from the Fed minutes tomorrow?). Brent Crude looks to have topped out a little despite continued supply issues and geopolitical uncertainty. US light crude has bounced back to prior day highs.

In FX, GBP/USD stronger (QE hopes rising ahead of Fed minutes). EUR/USD back at 1-week highs of 1.238  less QE hopes), but right in the middle of its 1-week range. USD/CHF fallen back to 1-week lows. USD/JPY continues to weaken after several days rallying. GBP/EUR weaker overnight, but possible rising 1-week support.

Little macro data out today, bat UK Public Finances for July, and UK CBI trends (orders and prices) for August.  Thereafter watch out for the result of Spain’s bond auction. Recent talks that the ECB could propose a cap on sovereign borrowing costs have seen peripheral yields (Spain, Italy) fall back. Spain thus likely to borrow at much improved terms. The EFSF is also issuing paper, which should see a knock on from the last point if regional members can borrow for less so should it.

Results out from Glencore (GLEN) this morning look better than expected ($1.8bn first-half profits vs. $1.6bn consensus), however, there is no news on an improvement in the share offer for Xstrata (XTA). Peer Ferrexpo (FXPO) showed profits hit by rising costs and lower commodity prices.

As always, speak to your trader for a chat about the markets and what you like to trade.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Japan               All Industry Activity                 In-line
  • See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • John Wood Group sees improvement at maintenance unit
  • Gem Diamonds profit halves on higher costs, lower prices
  • Glencore H1 profits -24%, sticks to Xstrata offer
  • Lonmin says sacking striking miners could lead to more violence
  • Persimmon sees lack of finance curbing demand for homes
  • Ferrexpo H1 profit hit by rising costs, lower prices
  • Ophir Energy confident on LNG development after Fortuna discovery
  • Afren says 2012 production on track
  • Barclays in talks about combining Africa ops with Absa
  • Falkland Islands Holdings Trading Similar To Last Year, In Line

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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