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Index Focus - 29 December 2017

Equities are trying to eke out the most of an already generous Santa Rally. The UK Index trades fresh highs, along with US equity futures. The only blot is European bourses struggling under the weight of a weaker USD (lower US yields, seasonality)  and thus penalised by a stronger EUR. The UK Index would normally find hindrance in similarly derived GBP gains, however higher oil prices, a strong commodity sector (oil, copper) and interest in select defensives are providing a welcome offset.

The UK UK Index is being led north by BHP/RIO (copper), AZN/BATS/RB (defensive, US exposure) and RDSb/BP(oil prices). easily overpowering a limited drag  from the likes of BARC/LLOY, WPP and ABF. The German DAX is two-thirds under water, pulled lower by VW (dieselgate inquiry), BASF, Allianz, Merck, Siemens and Deutsche Banks., with insufficient support by way of gains for Beiersdorf, Linde, Deutsche Boerse and RWE.

The UK Index 100 has broken above 7635 to make a fresh record high. The DAX 30 is below 13000, almost back to November lows. Dow Jones Futures are back testing mid-December intra-day record highs 24875. The Gold rally is closing in on $1300/oz, extending its own Santa Rally.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7,600? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards fresh highs of 7,700?

The UK Index 100 has broken above 7635 to make a fresh record, looking to close the year on a high.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7,660, Bearish 7,635

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 7635, 7620, 7615, 7600
  • Potential resistance: 7655, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 11,940 or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 13,535?

The DAX 30 is below 13000, almost back to November lows, as a weaker USD makes the EUR unhelpfully stronger

Watch levels: Bullish 13,000; Bearish 12900

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 12900, 12875, 12840, 12800
  • Potential resistance: 13000, 13075, 13100, 13200,

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 24,690? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 24,900?

Dow Jones Futures are back testing mid-December intra-day record highs 24875, still pointing north on US tax reform optimsim

  • Watch levels: Bullish 24,890, Bearish 24,860

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 24855, 24840, 24800, 24730, 24700
  • Potential resistance: 24885, 24900, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,236? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,358?

The Gold rally is closing in on $1300/oz, extending its own Santa Rally thanks to USD weakness more than safehaven demand.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1300, Bearish $1290

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1295, 1290, 1287, 1285, 1282, 1280, 1275, 1265, 1261, 1260
  • Potential resistance: 1300, 1305, 1310, 1315, 1335, 1358

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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