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Index Focus - 25 September 2017

European equities are marginally offside as traders digest a weekend of continental politics that saw Moody’s deliver a Brexit-inspired UK debt sovereign downgrade, new French President Macron struggled in Senate elections and incumbent German Chancellor Merkel held onto power (fourth term), but with a weakened hand and likely complicated coalition negotiations looming. Weaker resulting EUR, buoying DAX, but pushing GBP higher vs EUR & USD, hurting UK 100 .

The UK  UK 100 is lower on weakness among heavyweights HSBC & STAN (Asian uncertainty), RDSb (oil rally slowed), BATS (GBP strength), RIO & AAL (metal under pressure from USD rally), BARC & LLOY (Moody’s UK rating cut). Offering insufficient buoyancy are BT (bounce, LT support), AZN (drug filing news) and DGE (extending bounce).

The German DAX is just positive as gains for Lufthansa, consumer goods pair Beiersdorf & Bayer, and exporters Merck and Adidas (weak EUR) outweighs losses utility RWE (green coalition risk) and financials trio Commerzbank, Deutsche Bank & Munich Re (political risk).

The UK Index 100 is off its lows but remains hindered by 7300. The DAX 30 holds a shallow rising channel around 12600. Dow Jones Futures have edged back towards 22300 again. Gold is stuck below $1300, in a clear down-channel.

Click below to expand sections for more detailed analysis

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7,195? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7,430?

The UK Index 100 is off its lows but remains hindered by 7300.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7,305, Bearish 7,280

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 7290, 7280, 7270, 7260, 7245, 7235, 7220, 7200, 7195
  • Potential resistance: 7300, 7320, 7340, 7360, 7400, 7430

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 11,865? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 12,925?

The DAX 30 holds a shallow rising channel around 12600.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 12,630, Bearish 12,585

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 12600, 12585, 12560, 12550, 12500
  • Potential resistance: 12610, 12630, 12650, 12675, 12700, 12800, 12850, 12925

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 21,700? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 22,430

Dow Jones Futures have edged back towards 22300 again, but remain in an overall uptrend just shy of record highs.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 22,340; Bearish 22,310

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 22310, 22300, 22255, 22220
  • Potential resistance: 22340, 22360, 22380, 22400, 22430, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,250? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,358?

Gold is stuck below $1300, in a clear down-channel. Beware RSI up from oversold.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1305, Bearish $1290

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1290, 1280, 1270, 1250
  • Potential resistance: 1300, 1305, 1310, 1315, 1320, 1330, 1335, 1340, 1350, 1358

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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