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Index Focus - 18 July 2017

European equities are suffering under a weaker USD after the Republican healthcare bill once again failed to achieve US congressional approval, denting hopes of Trump stimulus and adding to poor US data that has cut the odds of a September rate hike. The UK’s UK Index outperforms (breakeven) thanks to a weak USD being supportive of commodities (oil, metals) and lower inflation prints bringing GBP/USD back from its overnight 10-month highs. Germany’s DAX, however, underperforms rather noticeably as exporters struggle with a EUR/USD pushing fresh 2yr highs as we write.

The UK 100 is held around breakeven by weakness for Tobacco (GBP holding close to highs), Miners (Copper off highs) BP (flat oil, GBP strength) and IAG (Lufthansa results). This is offsetting strength from heavyweight defensives including AZN (continued rebound), HSBC (resistance turned support, Asia data), consumer staples and RDSb (bigger dividend than BP). The DAX is lower due to EUR weakness weighing generally, the most notable losses being for Lufthansa (results) industrials, health, consumer and autos.

The UK Index 100 is range-bound 7360-7430 but still in a long-term uptrend. The DAX 30 has broken below 12500, potentially on its way back to 12400. Dow Jones Futures have bounced off rising support at 12620. Gold is flirting with a bullish breakout to $1240.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7300? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7480?

The UK Index 100 is range-bound 7360-7430 but still in a long-term uptrend.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7430, Bearish 7385

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 7400, 7385, 7360, 7340, 320, 7300
  • Potential resistance: 7420, 7430, 7455, 7460, 7480

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,315? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 12,675?

The DAX 30 has broken below 12500, potentially on its way back to 12400

  • Watch levels: Bullish 12510, Bearish 12460

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 12460, 12450, 12415, 12400, 12350, 12315
  • Potential resistance: 12500, 12550, 12600, 12650, 12675

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 21,420? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 21,685?

Dow Jones Futures have bounced off rising support at 21620.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 21,655; Bearish 21,620

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 21630, 21620, 21600, 21590, 21580, 21540, 21500
  • Potential resistance: 21660, 21680, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,205? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,295?

Gold is flirting with a bullish breakout to $1240.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1240, Bearish $1235

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 1236, 1230, 1220, 1215, 1210, 1205
  • Potential resistance: 1240, 1245, 1250, 1255, 1260, 1270, 1280, 1295

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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