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Index Focus - 13 July 2017

Equity markets are hovering just above breakeven as investors await the second round of Fed Chair Yellen’s Congressional interrogation, this time by the Senate Banking Committee. Oil has come off its weekly highs as IEA suggests OPEC members reopening the taps, compounding a higher and ever-rising US production. Commodities maintain a fingertip hold on gains inspired by earlier USD weakness and positive Chinese trade data overnight. Sterling is off its highs against the dollar, although it remains strong against the Euro, leaving the UK Index ‘s currency-sensitive names in limbo.

The UK 100 is engaged in a tug of war, with Financials (improved risk appetite), Telecoms (Ofcom BT-Openreach response), Glencore (extending breakout) and ULVR (EUR/USD weakness) being pitted against Pharma (AZN CEO defection?), Oil (global supply group), SGE (MCRO results read-across) and HSBA (remains strong). The DAX sees a rare situation where domestically focused stocks outperform exporters, with only Daimler (emissions cheating report) and Siemens markedly lower.

The UK Index 100 is holding above 7400 with potential for bullish triple bottom reversal complemented by a bullish flag towards 7500. The DAX 30 is in a broadening pattern just shy of 12650 that could take it 150 points either way. Dow Jones Futures has turned back from 21550 having failed to match yesterday’s fresh record high. Gold has failed to overcome June falling highs resistance at $1225 in a clear 5-week falling channel.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7300? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7560?

The UK Index 100 has broken from 7400 with the potential bullish triple bottom reversal to 7480 joined by a bullish flag.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 7430, Bearish 7405

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 7410, 7404, 7400, 7390, 7380, 7365, 7350, 7340, 7320, 7300
  • Potential resistance: 7420 7429, 7435, 7440, 7455, 7460, 7480, 7500

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,315? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 12,950?

The DAX 30 is in a broadening pattern just shy of 12650 that could take it 150 points either way. Note 4-hourly RSI overbought

  • Watch levels: Bullish 12645, Bearish 12620

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 12620, 12615, 12600, 12580, 12560, 12540, 12510
  • Potential resistance: 12645, 12660, 12670, 12680

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 21,200? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 21,565?

Dow Jones Futures has turned back from 21550 having failed to match yesterday’s fresh record high.

  • Watch levels: Bullish 21,550; Bearish 21,530

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 21530, 21530, 21510, 21500, 21460, 21440, 21415
  • Potential resistance: 21540, 21550, 21565, 21570, 21580 -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,205? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,295?

Gold has failed to overcome June falling highs resistance at $1225 in a clear 5-week falling channel.

  • Watch levels: Bullish $1225, Bearish $1220

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1218, 1217, 1216, 1215, 1213, 1211, 1208, 1205
  • Potential resistance: 1221.5, 1223, 1224.5, 1226, 1229.5, 1235, 1240

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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