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Index Focus - 3 May 2017

Global equity markets are offside this morning in the run up to the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy update and the final televised debate of the French election campaign, both this evening, after European macroeconomic offerings failing to inspire. While the former is unlikely to result in a third rate hike in 6 months, it could provide insight into the potential course of hikes during the remainder of 2017; meanwhile the latter sees Le Pen and Macron square off for the final time before Sunday’s second and final round of voting.

The UK 100 is currently being held back by underperformance from Oil (Brent/US Crude hovering around 1-/5-month lows), Miners (Iron Ore and Copper lower by >2.0%) and Pharmas AZN & GSK (Pfizer reports weak sales growth), which is currently offsetting gains for SHP (JP Morgan target price increase/results) and Defensives VOD, RB & WOS (FOMC equity apprehension). The German DAX is also under water, trading lower on account of pressure on the index’s heavily weighted US-dollar denominated exporting contingent.

The UK Index 100 continues to narrow in 7180-7260 channel. Break higher or lower? The DAX 30 has sold off from overnight record highs of 12530 to test intersecting support at 12480. Dow Jones Futures narrowing in tight 20900-20950 channel ahead of tonight’s FOMC decision. Gold has recovered from early lows of $1252.5 to test $1254.5 intersecting resistance.

Click below to expand sections for more detailed analysis

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 7085? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 7448?

The UK Index 100 continues to narrow in 7180-7260 channel. Break higher or lower?

Watch levels: Bullish 7260; Bearish 7215

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Uptrend
  • Potential support: 7220, 7215, 7200, 7185, 7150, 7100
  • Potential resistance: 7240, 7245, 7255, 7270, 7300, 7350, 7375, 7400

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

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Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 12,400? or;
  2. Will the index rise above highs of 12,530?

The DAX 30 has sold off from overnight record highs of 12530 to test intersecting support at 12480.

Watch levels: Bullish 12500; Bearish 12470

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Sideways
  • Potential support: 12480, 12450, 12435, 12415, 12405, 12375, 12215
  • Potential resistance: 12490, 12500, 12515, 122520, 12530 -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will the index fall towards lows of 20,400? or;
  2. Will the index rise towards highs of 21,070?

Dow Jones Futures narrowing in tight 20900-20950 channel ahead of tonight’s FOMC decision. Break above 20910 for test of 20935 or break below 20900?

Watch levels: Bullish 20,915; Bearish 20,895

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend (within uptrend)
  • Potential support: 20900, 20800, 20750, 20700
  • Potential resistance: 20910, 20930, 20940, 20950, 20990, 21000, 21035, 21070, -

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

Where next?
  1. Will Gold fall towards lows of $1,200? or;
  2. Will Gold rise towards highs of $1,295?

Gold has recovered from early lows of $1252.5 to test $1254.5 intersecting resistance.

Watch levels: Bullish $1255; Bearish $1252

Solid Green line
Possible support

Solid Red line
Possible resistance

  • Trend: Downtrend
  • Potential support: 1252.5, 1252, 1250, 1245, 1240, 1235, 1226, 1220, 1210
  • Potential resistance: 1254, 1254.5, 1256, 1258, 1260, 1262, 1265,

Important: The information provided above does not constitute advice or opinion and must only be regarded as technical observations.

Click here for help with Support & Resistance Click here for help with technicals

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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