Getting latest data loading
Home / Trade Alert / Sell – Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN)

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Sell – Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) - 30 June 2015

Opening Price Stop Loss Profit Limit Reward vs Risk CFD Margin
407p 435p (28p/6.9% above) 342p (65p/16.0% below) 2.3x 5%

Observations – For

  • Downtrend from mid-April
  • RSI & Stochastics falling highs
  • Almost Dead cross by 50 & 200-day moving averages

Observations – Against

  • Potential support around 390p
  • Still technically in uptrend from Aug 2013
  • Negative momentum found support recently

Analyst Comments

We expect continued uncertainty over Greece and a Fed rate rise to impact financials stocks and those exposed to emerging markets which have benefited from low US rates and carry trades for so long.

ADN shares have been in a solid downtrend since mid-April’s 14yr highs when RBC Capital downgraded the stock and factored in increased fund outflows as clients move money elsewhere. H1 results mixed according to Peel Hunt with share buybacks failing to offset outflows and uncertainty remaining.

While broker 12-month target prices point to decent upside for the shares, consensus ratings are largely neutral suggesting indecision/uncertainty in the face of the falling share price trend.

Next Event: Q3 trading statement, end-July.  Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Boomberg, Company website

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  27% Buy, 59% Hold, 14% x Sell

29-Jun, RBC, Underperform, TP 440p; 26-Jun, HSBC, Buy, TP 495p; 18-Jun, Macquarie, Neutral, TP 471p; 15-Jun, SocGen, Hold, TP 485p; Keefe, Bruyette, Outperform, TP 520p; Cantor, Buy, TP 520p; 19-May, Goldman Sachs, Neutral,. TP 460p; 6-May, Peel Hunt, Buy, TP 490p; Liberum, Buy, TP 493p; 5-May, Morgan Stanley, Underweight, TP 695p
(Source: Bloomberg) (U = Upgrade / D = Downgrade)

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (30 Jun; Bloomberg)

24-month (daily) – MACD, Stochastics, Directional Indicators, RSI, Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % -2.7 -8.5 -12.2 -8.7 6.7 57.3 82.9 215.0
Back to Top

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
.