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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
CRH PLC 1775 69.0 4.0 16.6
RSA Insurance Group PLC 94.15 3.2 3.5 16.0
Anglo American PLC 1565 48.5 3.2 18.6
Legal & General Group PLC 217.7 6.6 3.1 -2.3
Mondi PLC 1083 29.0 2.8 3.5
G4S PLC 250.3 6.1 2.5 -4.7
Pearson PLC 1033 25.0 2.5 -23.0
Whitbread PLC 4301 101.0 2.4 14.7
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
ARM Holdings PLC 996 -30.0 -2.9 -9.4
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 461.9 -9.7 -2.1 6.8
Barratt Developments PLC 409.9 -6.6 -1.6 17.5
Tesco PLC 287.4 -4.3 -1.5 -14.0
Kingfisher PLC 438.6 -5.6 -1.3 14.0
Smiths Group PLC 1252 -14.0 -1.1 -15.4
Persimmon PLC 1346 -15.0 -1.1 8.6
Intertek Group PLC 2968 -32.0 -1.1 -5.7
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,695.55 46.41 0.7 -0.79
UK 16,433.70 84.64 0.52 3.13
FR CAC 40 4,484.55 35.22 0.79 4.39
DE DAX 30 9,695.77 66.95 0.7 1.50
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,412.70 -159.85 -0.96 -0.99
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,127.73 -110.01 -2.6 -1.17
US S&P 500 1,865.09 -23.68 -1.25 0.91
JP Nikkei 225 14,811.85 -251.92 -1.67 -9.08
HK Hang Seng Index 48 22,383.08 -127.00 -0.56 -3.96
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,413.50 -9.33 -0.17 1.15
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 100.71 -0.35 -0.35 2.3911
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 105.895 -0.8 -0.75 -3.6788
Gold ($/oz) 1301.35 -0.95 -0.07 8.0926
Silver ($/oz) 19.88 -0.075 -0.38 2.7284
Platinum ($/oz) 1441.25 -7.35 -0.51 5.4217
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6573 -0.16 0.2961
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3705 0.01 -0.3128
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2092 -0.17 0.4728
UK 100 called to open -50pts at 6640

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30     UK          Lloyds Employment Confidence
  • 09:30     EZ           Sentix Investor Confidence
  • 11:30     EZ           ECB/Bundesbank’s Weidmann speaks
  • 16:45     US           Fed’s Bullard Speaks

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open -50pts at 6640, after US equities posted a sharp turnaround from record intra-day highs to close down around 1% after what had otherwise been taken as a satisfactory US jobs report (slightly below consensus, but back near 12-month average for job additions, upward revisions, participation up).

Where the report failed to deliver, however, was in its inability to convince traders/analysts whether the Fed would slow, leave or speed up its programme of QE3 stimulus reduction. This helped Gold hold on to its gains to trade around recent highs of $1300/oz. Technology stocks were a major negative influence on equities, with the Nasdaq index falling by 2.6%.

After the ECB policy update on Thursday, and President Draghi keeping the door open (it’s been nearly 2 years now) for unconventional measures, there was speculation (denied of course) on Friday that after the ECB had been modelling for a QE programme worth €1tn, helping to generate some much desired inflation in the region.

Asian equities have started the week on the back foot ending an 8-day winning streak, following the US lower, with no major data to influence direction and with ongoing concerns relating to Chinese defaults and slowing growth (markets closed today). Japanese stocks gave up ground from 2-month highs ahead of the BoJ’s two day meeting. There is talk of the bank doubling its purchases of ETFs as part of a second round of QE.

Data-wise, the Australian Construction index improved, but remains well below 50, while Japanese Leading/Activity indices were pretty much in-line. In Europe, this morning, German Industrial Production for February was in-line, but not without downward revisions to January.

In focus today, we have UK Lloyds Employment confidence and Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence along with some ECB/Fed speakers. A relatively quiet day after the busy end to last week, although keep an eye out for M&A sentiment boosting things after Swiss-based Holcim agreed to merge with France’s Lafarge to create the world’s biggest cement maker.

WTI Crude and Brent fallen back a bit on news that Libyan rebels have agreed to re-open two oil terminals after a deal with the government. WTI back at $100.7/bl from $101.5/bl and Brent crude sub $106/bl from $107/bl.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • AU       Construction Index                  Improved
  • JP         Leading/Coincident Indices    Mixed
  • DE        Industrial Production               In-line

See Live Macro calendar for all details

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • BG Group moves global LNG, oil trading headquarters to Singapore
  • Rio Tinto to submit new Australia coal mine plan after losing legal fight
  • Unite Group JV sells properties for 174 mln stg
  • Kentz awarded a further $570m contract for Ichthys project
  • Robert walters Q1 gross profit rises 3 pct to 48.1 mln stg
  • Cranswick full-year underlying sales rise 12 pct

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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