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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 396.9 9.6 2.5 -20.6
SABMiller PLC 2992.5 54.5 1.9 -3.5
British American Tobacco PLC 3287 52.0 1.6 1.5
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC 930 14.0 1.5 10.2
Diageo PLC 1864 27.0 1.5 -6.8
Royal Mail Group PLC 564 6.0 1.1 -1.1
RSA Insurance Group PLC 88.65 0.9 1.0 9.3
Unilever PLC 2505 23.0 0.9 0.9
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Babcock International Group PLC 1275 -91.0 -6.7 -5.9
Fresnillo PLC 837.5 -35.0 -4.0 12.3
Standard Life PLC 386.3 -13.7 -3.4 7.4
Mondi PLC 1042 -35.0 -3.3 -0.4
Next PLC 6745 -200.0 -2.9 23.8
Randgold Resources Ltd 4486 -122.0 -2.7 18.4
Tullow Oil PLC 759 -18.0 -2.3 -11.2
Vodafone Group PLC 218 -5.2 -2.3 -26.2
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,588.32 -16.98 -0.26 -2.38
UK 16,202.20 -50.72 -0.31 1.67
FR CAC 40 4,379.06 -6.09 -0.14 1.93
DE DAX 30 9,451.20 2.63 0.03 -1.06
US DJ Industrial Average 30 16,264.20 -4.79 -0.03 -1.88
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,151.23 -22.35 -0.54 -0.61
US S&P 500 1,849.04 -3.52 -0.19 0.04
JP Nikkei 225 14,696.03 73.14 0.50 -9.79
HK Hang Seng Index 48 22,084.11 249.66 1.14 -5.24
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,366.94 16.85 0.31 0.28
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 101.505 0.135 0.13 2.7052
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 107.905 0.41 0.38 -2.9566
Gold ($/oz) 1298.2 4.3 0.33 7.3954
Silver ($/oz) 19.8625 0.1225 0.62 1.6216
Platinum ($/oz) 1408.15 4.75 0.34 2.1323
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6622 0.08 0.3505
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3744 0.01 -0.0291
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2095 0.08 0.2405
UK 100 called to open 10 points higher

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30     UK          Gross Domestic Product
  • 09:30     UK          Current Account
  • 10:00     EU          Euro-Zone Economic Confidence
  • 12:30     US          Personal Consumption Expenditure
  • 12:30     US          Personal Spending
  • 12:30     US          Personal Income
  • 13:00     EU          German CPI
  • 13:55     US          U. of Michigan Confidence

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

The UK 100 is set to open up 20pts at 6606pts after closing in the red by 17pts yesterday. A key driver for the modest decline is the ongoing Russia/Ukraine situation as the US House of Representatives prepares to confirm further sanctions against Russia and provide aid to Ukraine today.

US Markets closed slightly softer with indices registering losses between 0.19% and 0.5%. Investors lacking the confidence to commit amid geopolitical tensions and banks failing stress tests nearly six years after the financial crash.

Asia trading provided a reason to be cheerful, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index heading for its biggest weekly gain in almost a year. The Hang Seng the standout performer notching 244pts as traders attempt to get in to deflated stocks ahead of anticipated Chinese stimulus measures.

Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS.L) fell 1.4% and HSBC (HSBA.L) by 0.5% as their US units failed Federal Reserve stress tests. The selling extended to Barclays (BARC.L) down 1% but stopped short of Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY.L) up 0.25%, the company’s interests focussed this side of the pond.

Elsewhere Tullow Oil (TLW.L) fell 2.3% on a disappointing oil well update in Kenya. SSE (SSE.L) fell 2% after Ofgem, Britain’s energy regulator, asked the Competition and Markets Authority to investigate the retail market amid speculation of price fixing. Randgold Resources (RRS.L) and Fresnillo (FRES.L) share prices eroded 2.7% and 4% respectively as precious metal prices softened. Gold fell to a six-week low of around $1290.

The heaviest decline came from engineering service firm Babcock International (BAB.L), shares fell 6.7% after the company announced a £1.1bn rights issue to fund the acquisition of helicopter outfit Avincis which comes with £705m of debt.

In focus today: UK GDP at 9:30, EU Economic sentiment indicator at 10:00, US Personal spending, CPI, Personal income at 12:30, DE CPI at 13:00, Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 14:55, FED’s George to speak at 16:45.

Commodities: Copper rose as much as 0.7% to $6,604.50 tn, and is set for its second weekly gain on concern supplies from global mines will trail forecasts amid speculation demand may increase in China. Gold rose as much at 0.30% to $1,294.48 oz trimming its losses for the week as speculation the drop below $1,300 oz will spur demand against signs of US recovery. Silver also advanced 0.40% to $19.7831 oz, Platinum also gained 0.40% to $1,404.50 oz and Palladium climbed 0.60% to $763.50 oz. WTI crude rose 36cents to $101.64 a barrel, while Brent crude rose 7cents to $107.90 a barrel amid shrinking stockpiles at the U.S. oil storage hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, and concern the crisis in Ukraine threatens Russian supplies.

FX: Sterling rose 0.20% to $1.6609 against the dollar and 0.50% to 82.70p per Euro and is set for is fourth day of gains as retail sales rose more than expected. Sterling has risen 10% in the past year, the best performer of 10 developed-nation currencies tracked by Bloomberg.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • UK        GFK Consumer Confidence     BETTER

See Live Macro calendar for all details

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Qinetiq on course to meet targets for financial year
  • Capital and Counties and TfL enter joint venture to develop London’s Earls Court
  • Diageo announces changes to executive committee
  • ITE Group sees 2 mln stg profit hit from Ukraine situation
  • Aviva sells River Road to Affiliated Managers

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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