Today's Main Events
- 09:30 UK GDP
- 12:00 US Mortgage Applications
- 15:00 US New Home Sales
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
CRH PLC | 1788 | 104 | 6.2 | 2.6 |
RSA Insurance Group PLC | 101 | 3.5 | 3.6 | -15.62 |
Sports Direct International PLC | 808.5 | 15 | 1.9 | 702.9 |
William Hill PLC | 377.3 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 111.2 |
Admiral Group PLC | 1491 | 21 | 1.4 | 27 |
Sage Group (The) PLC | 435.5 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 91.26 |
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA | 451.7 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 136.4 |
Associated British Foods PLC | 2955 | 35 | 1.2 | 259.5 |
UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Fresnillo PLC | 967.5 | -30 | -3.01 | 20.94 |
Rio Tinto PLC | 3439 | -97.5 | -2.76 | -0.88 |
Anglo American PLC | 1500.5 | -33 | -2.15 | -45.82 |
Vodafone Group PLC | 246.95 | -5.35 | -2.12 | 38.32 |
Antofagasta PLC | 914.5 | -18.5 | -1.98 | -10.87 |
BG Group PLC | 1097.5 | -20 | -1.79 | -5.47 |
BHP Billiton PLC | 1928.5 | -31.5 | -1.61 | -6.56 |
BAE Systems PLC | 410.9 | -6.6 | -1.58 | 13.82 |
Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
UK UK 100 | 6,830.50 | -35.36 | -0.52 | 7.95 |
UK | 16,528.00 | -11.39 | -0.07 | 22.42 |
FR CAC 40 | 4,414.55 | -4.58 | -0.1 | 20.30 |
DE DAX 30 | 9,699.35 | -9.59 | -0.1 | 27.10 |
US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 16,179.70 | -27.44 | -0.17 | 15.79 |
US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 4,287.59 | -5.38 | -0.13 | 34.04 |
US S&P 500 | 1,845.12 | -2.49 | -0.13 | 21.28 |
Nikkei 225 | 14,970.97 | -80.63 | -0.01 | 0.06 |
Hong Kong Hang Seng Index | 22,452.98 | 135.78 | 0.01 | 0.08 |
S&P/ASX 200 | 5,437.00 | 3.15 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 101.695 | -0.295 | -0.29 | 4.47 |
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 109.365 | -0.46 | -0.42 | -7.34 |
Gold ($/oz) | 1344.85 | 3.55 | 0.26 | -17.76 |
Silver ($/oz) | 22.0225 | 0.1625 | 0.74 | -27.61 |
Platinum ($/oz) | 1439.8 | 0.8 | 0.06 | -16.01 |
GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.6686 | – | 0.07 | 7.76 |
EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.3742 | – | -0.03 | 2.95 |
GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.2141 | – | 0.08 | 4.67 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open -20 at 6829, as global equity markets all retreated from intra-day highs although we did see UK/European indices rallying into the close yesterday.
In the US, stocks fell, with the S&P failing to break a record for a second day, after data showed slower growth in home prices and a drop in consumer confidence. The index closed down 2.5 points at 1845 whilst the Dow Jones was down 27 points at 16,179. Focus seemed to be on the collapse of Mt Gox, one of the largest exchanges dealing in the internet money Bitcoins, that “disappeared overnight” after reports $375m worth of the virtual currency had been stolen.
In Asia, flagging U.S. consumer confidence and concern about a growth slowdown in China led to a mixed trading session. The Hang Seng was up 135 points at 22,452 although Chinese property stocks fell for a fifth day amid concern that a weakening property market will weigh on developers and consumer companies. Japan’s Nikkei was down 80 points at 14,970, pushed lower by a firmer yen.
Results today: ITV (ITV.L) Revenue £2.39bn vs. £2.36bn expected. EPS 11.2p vs. 11p expected. Adjusted pretax profit at £581m. Sees double digit growth in online pay interactive in 2014, announces special dividend of 4p. FY dividend 3.5p. Taylor Wimpey (TW..L) Operating profit up 39.1%, pretax profit up 47.6%, order book rose 31.4% by value, FY revenue up 13.7%, FY EPS 8.3p vs. 7p expected. Travis Perkins (TPK.L) FY adjusted pretax profit up 12.4% to £321m, FY EPS up 14.3% to 103.6p, revenue now over £5bn with annual growth of 6.3%, final dividend up 24% to 21p, FY dividend 31p, expects capital expenditure to increase by £130-150m in 2014. Greggs (GRG.L) FY pretax profit down 18.9% to £41.3m, total sales up 3.8% to £762.4m, total dividend 19.5p, market conditions to remain challenging in 2014. Petrofac (PFC.L) Revenue $6.3bn vs. $6.2bn up 1%, net profit $650m vs. $632m, sees flat to modest growth in 2014. Weir Group (WEIR.L) FY revenue £2.43bn vs. £2.47bn expected, pretax profit £418m vs. £440m, expects to return to underlying growth in 2014.
In focus today will be UK GDP data out at 9:30am, with the figures expected to come in-line with last month. With the UK 100 cooling off from 14 year highs yesterday a positive reading could push the index past 6900. With 6800 proving support, we see 6850 as resistance once more before 6900 comes into play. Later this afternoon we have US Mortgage Applications at 12:00pm followed by US New Home sales at 15:00pm. US equity markets finished in the red last night (DOW -0.17%, S&P -0.13%, NASDAQ -0.13%) following weaker housing, and confidence data. Despite this the S&P briefly surpassed its all-time high before erasing gains.
In commodities, the rally in gold continued, trading at a high of $1345 following the weak US consumer confidence and housing data. With $1350 still proving a ceiling, poor data from the US again today could see a clear break of this level. Next stop $1400? Despite having rallied over 11% this year, some analyst are still bearish with one from UBS stating on CNBC Asia’s “Squawk Box” that the 2014 rally was set to end in tears, and gold and silver would see double-digit declines this year. WTI traded at lowest levels in a week at $101.80 following stockpiles data.
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See Live Macro calendar for all details
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