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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Severn Trent PLC 1778 78 4.6 4.28
Hargreaves Lansdown PLC 1485 56 3.9 9.68
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 343.9 11.7 3.5 1.72
Royal Mail Group PLC 578.5 19.5 3.5 1.49
Persimmon PLC 1292 42 3.4 4.28
United Utilities Group PLC 737 23.5 3.3 9.75
Lloyds Banking Group PLC 82.85 2.45 3 5.03
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 403.2 11.9 3 -19.36
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Fresnillo PLC 751 -24 -3.1 0.74
BG Group PLC 1053.5 -28.5 -2.6 -18.81
Tullow Oil PLC 829.5 -14 -1.7 -2.98
Imperial Tobacco Group PLC 2217 -35 -1.6 -5.18
ARM Holdings PLC 944.5 -13 -1.4 -14.06
Tesco PLC 320.25 -4.35 -1.3 -4.22
British American Tobacco PLC 2985 -39.5 -1.3 -7.81
Randgold Resources Ltd 4105 -52 -1.3 8.31
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,572.33 21.67 0.33 -3.76
UK 15,715.80 187.59 1.21 -2.91
FR CAC 40 4,185.30 40.73 0.98 -3.29
DE DAX 30 9,406.91 57.69 0.62 -3.45
US DJ Industrial Average 30 15,928.60 90.72 0.57 -3.22
US Nasdaq Composite 100 4,097.96 14.35 0.35 -2.37
US S&P 500 1,792.50 10.94 0.61 -2.51
JP Nikkei 225 15,383.91 403.75 2.70 -5.57
HK Hang Seng Index 48 22,201.07 240.43 1.09 -4.74
AU S&P/ASX 200 5,229.01 53.90 1.04 -2.30
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 97.115 0.005 0.01 3
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 107.475 -0.05 -0.05 1.1
Gold ($/oz) 1254.15 1.45 0.12 0.05
Silver ($/oz) 19.5875 0.0525 0.27 -3.56
Platinum ($/oz) 1410 -1.8 -0.13 -3.2
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.6587 0.12 1
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3667 0.09 0.93
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.2136 0.02 0.04
UK 100 called to open +40pts @ 6615

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 9:00        EZ           EC Fifth review of Spanish banks
  • 12:15     UK          BoE Governor Carney speaks
  • B/M       US          Boeing & Dow Chemical Q4 Results
  • 19:00     US          Fed policy decision
  • A/M       US          Facebook Q4 Results

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open +40pts at 6615, helped by US equities ending their 3-day losing streak, despite some mixed US macro data, closing with small gains ahead of the FOMC statement thanks to a calming of emerging market woes and optimism ahead of the Turkish central bank emergency decision after the US close which saw a more aggressive than expected hike in rates to shore up the troubled Lira.

Asian equities have pushed higher overnight thanks to improved risk sentiment from gains in Europe and the US and the swift action by Turkey to restore faith in emerging markets, as well as a solid South Korean Industrial Production print, all ahead of the Fed’s policy update on tapering this evening. Japan’s Nikkei leading the way thanks to a weaker JPY as safehaven flows reverse.

Yahoo! results disappointed in terms of Q1 sales guidance as the company struggles to convert growth into advertising dollars and the shares fell almost 7% after hours. Telcos group AT&T– forced to ‘shut up’ over Vodafone takeover speculation – also failed to inspire with shares -1.5% despite beating on EPS and Revenues and guidance in-line with consensus.

Note an IMF official seeing no global sell-off such as that seen last May when the Fed announced tapering, but more to do with problems from a subset of emerging markets which need to take more steps to cushion themselves from external shocks.

Overnight data included an improved Aussie Westpac Leading index but a drop in the number of skilled vacancies, while German Consumer Confidence beat the expected improvement this morning and UK House Prices showed their continued climb.

 Note results out this morning from Antofagasta (record production of copper and gold beats guidance), Anglo American (production update), Mulberry (2013 profits warning due to UK Christmas discounts). Lloyds has also pushed the button in its IPO of TSB after a failed 11th hour bid for the 631 branches.

In focus today we have an absence of major data which would help maintain optimism in there run up to the Fed statement and taper update this evening. Listen out for results on a fifth review of Spanish banks and BoE Governor Carney speaking.

Q4 results from Boeing and Dow Chemical may be used as economic barometers before the US open, while after the US close Facebook results will likely garner much attention after Yahoo disappointed last night.

UK 100 futures made more progress overnight, getting as far as 6620 and maintaining a trend (albeit short) of rising lows from late Monday. The bull in me likes the recovery off long term rising lows at 6500. The bear in me notes the confluence of resistance around 6630 from rising, horizontal and falling highs which could slow things up.

Gold fell back as low as $1250 as safehaven demand waned thanks to the global equity sell-off reversing. Support possible at $1250 with resistance likely back at recent high $1280, but still rising lows from end 2013.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • TKY          Interest Rates decision                   Big hike
  • AU            Westpac Leading Index                  Improved
  • AU            Skilled Vacancies                            Deteriorated
  • UK            Nationwide House Prices                Beat
  • DE            GFK Consumer Confidence             Beat, Improved

See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Shell sells 23 pct stake in Brazil project to Qatar
  • Brewin Dolphin’s core income rises 15 percent in Q1
  • Britvic on track to hit profit targets
  • Antofagasta says cash costs to remain stable in 2014
  • Mulberry warns on profit as Christmas discounts hurt UK sales
  • Carphone to collaborate with Samsung on Europe stores
  • Anglo American iron ore output rises, copper hits quarterly record

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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