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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
London Stock Exchange Group PLC 1590 110 7.4 46.14
easyJet PLC 1406 56 4.1 83.67
Aberdeen Asset Management PLC 414.7 16.5 4.1 12.97
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 334.4 12.8 4 3.05
Travis Perkins PLC 1696 63 3.9 55.88
WPP Group PLC 1210 42 3.6 36.26
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 282.4 8.7 3.2 52.81
Sainsbury (J) PLC 391.1 11.3 3 13.33
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Sage Group (The) PLC 357.1 -5 -1.4 21.34
Fresnillo PLC 1031 -11 -1.1 -44.18
Randgold Resources Ltd 4457 -46 -1 -25.09
Tate & Lyle PLC 851.5 -8 -0.9 11.75
BT Group PLC 332.1 -1.9 -0.6 43.7
Vodafone Group PLC 191.35 -0.95 -0.5 23.89
AMEC PLC 1056 -5 -0.5 5.28
Johnson Matthey PLC 2748 -9 -0.3 15.66
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,634.36 62.43 0.95 12.49
UK 14,819.80 95.52 0.65 19.76
FR CAC 40 3,927.79 55.77 1.44 7.87
DE DAX 30 8,337.09 82.37 1 9.52
US DJ Industrial Average 30 15,548.50 77.98 0.5 18.65
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3,611.28 1.28 0.04 19.60
US S&P 500 1,689.37 8.46 0.5 18.45
JP Nikkei 225 14,506.25 33.67 0.00 39.55
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,282.62 -150.46 -0.01 -6.07
AU S&P/ASX 200 4,973.90 8.20 0.00 6.99
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 107.615 -0.165 -0.15 17.24
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 108.665 0.11 0.1 -2.35
Gold ($/oz) 1289.8 6.1 0.48 -23.02
Silver ($/oz) 19.3925 0.0125 0.06 -36.08
Platinum ($/oz) 1423.05 6.75 0.48 -7.83
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.5226 0.03 -6.26
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3133 0.18 -0.5
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1593 -0.15 -5.87
UK Index called to open -10pts @ 6625

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • N/A        G20        Finance Ministers  + Central Bank Governors meeting
  • 09:30     UK          Public Finances
  • 11:00     EZ           LTRO early repayments
  • 13:30     CA          CPI
  • N/A        US          Q2 Results: Whirlpool, Honeywell, Baker Hughes
  • N/A        US          Q2 Results: Schlumberger, general Electric, State Street

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open -10pts at 6625 taking a pause after yesterday’s gains, with Asian equities giving up ground overnight after both Google and Microsoft saw Q2 profits miss consensus, offsetting the positive run registered by the banking sector.

Note Japan’s Nikkei registered a worrying 500pt 30-min decline, attributed by some as profit taking ahead of the weekend election, before paring losses. More conflicting talk from officials from China on banks sector risk and GDP on target. Helpful as ever.

Positive sentiment on US data (Jobs, Q2 earnings, Philly fed)  and ratings agency Moody’s upgrading its outlook on the US to Stable from negative (ironic timing with Detroit filing for bankruptcy ) unable to offset fact we have no more from Bernanke for a while (back to data-watching; taper on, taper off), and the auto-making capital and tech report disappointments.

European peripheral politics still messy (Portugal, Spain, Italy), although debt raisings satisfactory. Overnight data limited to Japan with continued improvements in activity and sentiment indices. German Producer Prices Inflation in-line, but still far from ECB rate-rise material.

In focus today we have little of note, bar more US Q2 earnings and the meeting between G20 finance ministers and central bank governors, after a week spent watching Bernanke, who’s appeasing comments of the markets (nothing set in stone, September not a done deal) helped equity indices gain ground, making new highs in the US and match the prior week’s highs in the UK.

The UK 100 tested last week’s highs 6660 but fallen back, however, rising highs from 17 Jul and support at 6600 could provide support for another rally break above recent highs with the recent 1-week sideways shift having served as a pause amid the rally from end-June and potential for a revisit of the May highs of 6875 (before Bernanke scared us all). Financials (US + UK) doing well, which many consider the sign of a true bull-run.

In FX, GBP/USD flat around 1.52 with a rising support line from 9 July. Break above 1.53 could open up 1.55 or even 1.57 3-month highs. Watch that US data. Taper on, taper off. EUR/USD also range-bound 1.305-1.3175. A break above 1.32 could open up 3-month highs 1.34.

In Commodities, Gold still under pressure, unable to get test $1300.Flaling highs from early June.  US Light Crude Oil off its best levels of $108, but still in uptrend having caught up with Brent crude (spread the narrowest since late 2010) which is trading only around a dollar higher.

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Japan       All Leading Activity Index   Improved, but less than hoped
  • Japan       leading Index                      Improved
  • Japan       Coincident Index                 Improved
  • Germany    PPI                                       In-line

See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Vodafone hit by Germany and Italy woes
  • Sirius Minerals says report fails to back York Potash Project
  • Lamprell signs agreement for refinancing of debt facilities
  • Costain wins 34 mln stg UK highways contract

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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