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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Tullow Oil PLC 1024 41.5 4.2 -18.79
GlaxoSmithKline PLC 1658 51 3.2 24.19
GKN PLC 252 6.3 2.6 10.14
Shire PLC 1964 41 2.1 4.08
Melrose Industries PLC 245.9 4.8 2 10.02
Vodafone Group PLC 192.5 3.25 1.7 24.64
G4S PLC 300.7 4.8 1.6 17.23
Polymetal International PLC 716.5 10.5 1.5 -39.02
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC 229.8 -10.4 -4.3 -19.08
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 273.9 -9.3 -3.3 -15.59
Resolution Ltd 247.1 -7 -2.8 -0.16
easyJet PLC 1110 -30 -2.6 45
Lloyds Banking Group PLC 47.085 -1.14 -2.4 -1.73
Barclays PLC 283.75 -6.55 -2.3 8.14
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 245.9 -5.1 -2 33.06
Antofagasta PLC 889.5 -16.5 -1.8 -32.82
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6,243.67 -0.54 -0.01 5.86
UK 13,553.00 21.83 0.16 9.52
FR CAC 40 3,599.36 0.13 0 -1.15
DE DAX 30 7,473.73 -29.30 -0.39 -1.82
US DJ Industrial Average 30 14,537.00 -81.49 -0.56 10.94
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3,166.36 -38.31 -1.2 4.86
US S&P 500 1,541.60 -10.40 -0.67 8.09
JP Nikkei 225 13,316.48 96.41 0.73 28.10
HK Hang Seng Index 48 21,846.02 333.50 1.55 -3.58
AU S&P/ASX 200 4,931.90 7.48 0.15 6.09
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 88.45 0.23 0.26 -3.64
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 99.855 0.97 0.98 -10.26
Gold ($/oz) 1416.8 22.6 1.62 -15.45
Silver ($/oz) 23.5925 0.2975 1.28 -22.24
Platinum ($/oz) 1442.95 13.95 0.98 -6.54
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.5313 0.19 -5.72
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3079 0.2 -0.91
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1709 0 -4.93
UK Index called to open +30pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • N/A        WW       G20 & IMF Meetings
  • N/A        Cyprus  Parliament votes on Bailout
  • 12-30     EZ           ECB’s Weidman & Germany’s Fin Min Speaks
  • N/A        US          Q1 Results from several major corporates

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

  UK 100 called to open +30pts, with risk appetite higher in Asia-Pacific and commodities benefiting from renewed interest (optimism, or short covering?), from less gloomy observations from the IMF/G20 meetings in Washington, helping offset some of this week’s dominant pessimism, derived from China.

 In Japan, the Nikkei higher is on a weaker JPY after comments from PM Abe that there was no opposition to its policies at the G20 meetings. In Australia, resources-related stocks rebounding on optimism.

 Equities in China higher despite mixed macro data and a 2013 GDP forecast cut by Goldman Sachs following last weekend’s softer Q1 readings, with consumer names benefiting from a government economist suggesting growth will rebound this year, increased foreign interest in the A-share market (normally only available to mainland citizens) and expectations of a widening of the Yuan/Renminbi trading band next week.

 Overnight macro data saw an improvement in China’s Flash Business sentiment, but stagnation in its Conference Board Leading Economic Index. In Japan, while industrial activity rebounded in February, sentiment indices also nudged up a touch.

 This morning, German Producer Prices softer than expected, likely reducing expectations of a rate hike by the ECB, with inflation still below target in the Eurozone as austerity impacts growth and uncertainty elsewhere in the world impacts Europe’s exporting giant.

 In the US last night, market lower on jobless data and poor Philly Fed and Leading indicator readings. After the close, sentiment not helped by quarterly results from IBM (profits and revenues missed expectations), Google (better profits but revenues missed as ad prices slipped due to mobile usage growth) and Microsoft (better, but low uptake of Windows 8 wiped out growth in core business).

 In the FT this morning, UK Chancellor seen squaring up to IMF next month in a battle of credibility on Plan A on austerity and deficit reduction which the fund sees hindering growth at a time when it is needed. Comments from incoming BoE governor Carney suggest Osborne has an ally.

 UK 100 tested recent 6225 lows again yesterday and remains in a tight range (6225-6275). Breakout to the upside or downside? Long-term multi-month uptrend still intact, but rebound needed as confirmation of macro pressures being overcome.

 Gold rebounded to above $1400 (support?) thanks to a weakening in the USD following weaker US macro data leading to expectations of continued QE3 (maybe even more). Less gloomy comments from G20/IMF also likely seeing USD less required as a safehaven, seeing rotation back into risk.

 In Oil, Brent Crude rallied back towards $100, off lows of $97  on weaker USD while US Light Crude is doing the same, bouncing from lows of $86 towards prior highs of $89. Both benefiting from more economic optimism (well less gloomy anyway).

 In FX, GBP/USD rallied back to 1.532, after a bounce from near 1.52. Sitting equidistant from support and resistance, benefiting from less need for USD safehaven and the GBP saved from more QE for another month or so. EUR/USD also off worse levels of 1.30 yesterday, but 1.32 recent high a likely hurdle.

 For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • China               MNI Flash Business Sentiment            Improved
  • China               Conf Board Leading Econ Index          Deteriorated
  • Japan               All Industry                                          Improved
  • Japan               Coincident/Leading Indices                Improved
  • German           Producer Price Inflation                      Worse
  • See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • William Hill – Q1 net revenue grew by 15 percent
  • Spectris says first-quarter sales fall by 8 pct
  • Flybe sees 2012/13 loss at lower end of its guidance
  • Mears to buy ILS Group, raise 19.7 mln stg in placing
  • BowLeven says Cameroon tests surpass expectations
  • RPS buys Knowledge Reservoir Group for up to $20 mln
  • Dart says FY profit will beat market expectations
  • Games Workshop trading in line with internal expectations
  • Great Portland Estates signs London pre-let with Bridgepoint Advisers
  • Brightside full year profit rises 29 pct
  • Anglo American copper, iron ore tick higher in Q1

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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