Today's Main Events
- 09-30 ES Bond Auction
- 10-00 EZ Construction Output
- 10-00 EZ/DE ZEW Surveys
- 15-00 US NAHB Housing Market Index
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Hammerson PLC | 504 | 16.8 | 3.4 | 3.22 |
ITV PLC | 120.3 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 14.35 |
Aggreko PLC | 1708 | 28 | 1.7 | -1.84 |
Imperial Tobacco Group PLC | 2356 | 38 | 1.6 | -0.72 |
National Grid PLC | 692.5 | 10.5 | 1.5 | -1.49 |
Severn Trent PLC | 1605 | 21 | 1.3 | 1.97 |
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets PLC | 263.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 0.34 |
Rexam PLC | 472.5 | 3.6 | 0.8 | -2.47 |
UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC | 390.3 | -12.4 | -3.1 | 37.43 |
Anglo American PLC | 1983 | -56 | -2.7 | 4.7 |
Kazakhmys PLC | 726 | -20.5 | -2.7 | -6.68 |
Evraz PLC | 283.1 | -6.4 | -2.2 | 9.35 |
Antofagasta PLC | 1098 | -21 | -1.9 | -17.07 |
ARM Holdings PLC | 923 | -17 | -1.8 | 20.18 |
Carnival PLC | 2462 | -43 | -1.7 | 4.41 |
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA | 224.2 | -3.7 | -1.6 | 21.32 |
Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
UK UK 100 | 6318.19 | -10.07 | -0.16 | 7.13 |
UK | 13499 | -59.35 | -0.44 | 9.08 |
FR CAC 40 | 3667.04 | 6.67 | 0.18 | 0.71 |
DE DAX 30 | 7628.73 | 35.22 | 0.46 | 0.21 |
US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 13981.8 | 8.4 | 0.06 | 6.7 |
US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 3192.03 | -6.63 | -0.21 | 5.71 |
US S&P 500 | 1519.79 | -1.59 | -0.1 | 6.56 |
JP Nikkei 225 | 11372.34 | -35.53 | -0.31 | 9.40 |
HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 23170.46 | -215.29 | -0.92 | 2.27 |
AU S&P/ASX 200 | 5081.9 | 18.48 | 0.36 | 9.31 |
Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 95.365 | -0.565 | -0.59 | 3.89 |
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 117.185 | -0.09 | -0.08 | 5.31 |
Gold ($/oz) | 1612.65 | -1.25 | -0.08 | -3.76 |
Silver ($/oz) | 29.9725 | -0.0725 | -0.24 | -1.21 |
Platinum ($/oz) | 1687.2 | -11.8 | -0.69 | 9.27 |
GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.5477 | – | 0 | -4.71 |
EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.3341 | – | -0.06 | 1.08 |
GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.1601 | – | 0.06 | -5.8 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
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We hope your experience with Accendo Markets over the past 12 months warrants a vote in the following category; “BEST EXECUTION ONLY CFD PROVIDER”
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UK 100 called to open -15pts, after a mixed session for Asia, which itself had little lead from a muted performance by European bourses, many US markets closed for Presidents Day and a light macro data slate to provide catalysts. Caution prevails.
Japanese equities, after their post-G20 ‘no currency manipulating finger-pointing at Japan’ rally, pulled back a touch, dented by slight firming in JPY following finance minister Aso’s dismissal of comments made by PM Abe (considering buying foreign bonds as another measure of monetary easing, considering change of BoJ law) and refusal to comment on JPY FX rate (likely fearful of G20 criticism).
Both Japan and Australia published minutes from recent central bank policy meetings, however, the BoJ’s were overshadowed by politicians (as is the case so much of the time, everywhere) while the RBA’s were slightly less dovish than expected, helping AUD, but door for more easing left open helping equities to fresh 4.5yr high.
Overnight data comprised little of great worth, with Japanese Sentiment indices unchanged, although Department Store Sales did return to growth, while in Europe New Car Registrations saw less contraction in January, with some significant weakness by Peugeot, Fiat and Ford, but Daimler doing well with growth
In focus today, Eurozone Construction Output will likely show continued contraction, dented by the austerity and reduced GDP growth across the region. ZEW surveys for Germany and the Eurozone are hoped to show continued improvement after the significant and surprising rebound in January.
The Spanish short-term bond auction will be looked to for any signs of stress, especially with concerns rising over Italian election outcome and possibility of return of contagion risk, and Draghi’s reiteration of accommodative stance on account of region al risks remaining to the downside.
UK 100 still holding 6300 but any attempts at rebound have become increasingly weak. Some of that is linked to US being close yesterday, but caution looks to be growing. Still potential for descending triangle pattern to complete with break to the downside and 6220 the next level of likely support.
In FX, GBP/USD still weak and below 1.55 with comments from the BoE’s Weale weighing on Sterling (“may need to weaken further in order to benefit UK economy”) and USD still in demand on recovery optimism. As we said yesterday, the topic of currency wars and competitive devaluation still has legs. Support 1.53, resistance 1.565. EUR/USD moving further into apex of rising and falling trendlines, hovering around 1.33. Potentially more support than resistance in near-term.
In Commodities, Gold retained its bounce back from below $1600, however, concerns out there that this could just be a pause before a second leg down to lows of $1550, completing bearish flagpole. In Oil, US Light Crude remains around Feb lows of $95 after rise in USD and traders weighing prospects for demand and supply. Brent Crude started losing momentum after topping out around $118. Support at $116.25
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research