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Home / Trade Alert / Sell – Antofagasta

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Sell – Antofagasta - 3 January 2018

Trade Parameters

  • Opening Price: 995.5p
  • Stop Loss: 1060p (64.5p/6.5% above)
  • Profit Limit: 860p (135.5p/13.6% below)
  • Reward vs Risk: 2.1x
  • CFD Margin: 5%

Technical Observations – For

  • September falling highs resistance
  • Stochastics & RSI overbought
  • Momentum turned over
  • Copper already topped out

Technical Observations – Against

  • December uptrend unbroken
  • Moving averages support around 950p?
  • No Point & Figure chart reversal
  • Long term uptrend since 2016

Analyst Comments

Attractive bearish technical set-up in terms of reversal potential. Copper price under pressure after strong rally to 3.5yr high thanks to weak USD and China production curbs to reduce pollution. New Year rotation from Santa Rally winners (+16%) could scupper share price uptrend as could a bounce by USD on tax reform digestion.

Consensus is biased bearish in terms of ratings, which is supportive of our trade. The consensus price target is already suggesting downside of 7% for the shares. Further share price reversal could encourage more positive analysts to review their ratings and targets.

Next Event:  Q4 Production Report, 24 Jan

Latest Broker 12-Month Consensus:  23% Buy, 31% Hold, 46Sell (full breakdown on request)

Source: DowJones Newswires, Reuters News, Bloomberg  or Company Press releases

Broker Ratings & 12-Month Target Prices (Bloomberg)

4-month (daily) - Stochastics, RSI, Momentum

Share 1wk 1m 3m 6m 1yr 2yr 3yr 4yr 5yr
Perf % 3.3 10.8 3.0 24.6 47.6 112.2 33.2 21.2 -27.9
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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

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