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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC 695 6.5 0.9 -5.12
AMEC PLC 1075 10 0.9 18.46
WPP Group PLC 793 7 0.9 17.39
British Land Co PLC 538 4.5 0.8 16.32
Barclays PLC 159 1.3 0.8 -9.68
Resolution Ltd 219.9 1.6 0.7 -12.53
Diageo PLC 1684 12 0.7 19.73
BP PLC 444 2.5 0.6 -3.58
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
G4S PLC 240 -14.6 -5.7 -11.7
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC 387.4 -15.5 -3.8 -39.04
ARM Holdings PLC 469 -18.7 -3.8 -20.78
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 154.8 -5.2 -3.2 5.02
Admiral Group PLC 1139 -37 -3.1 33.69
National Grid PLC 662 -20.5 -3 5.92
Kazakhmys PLC 707 -20.5 -2.8 -23.73
Randgold Resources Ltd 5650 -155 -2.7 -14.2
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK 100 5629.09 -33.34 -0.59 1.02
11019.2 -56.06 -0.51 9.07
CAC 40 3176.97 -2.93 -0.09 0.54
DAX (Xetra) 6577.64 11.92 0.18 11.52
Dow Jones Industrial Average 12805.5 78.29 0.62 4.81
Nasdaq Comp. 2910.04 13.1 0.45 11.7
S&P 500 1363.67 10.03 0.74 8.43
Nikkei 225 8726.74 -28.26 -0.32 3.21
Hang Seng 19156.65 -298.68 -1.54 3.92
S&P/ASX 200 4123.6 -17.2 -0.42 1.65
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil Light Sweet Composite 88.905 0.875 0.99 -10.2
Gold Composite 1580.2 4.3 0.27 0.88
Silver Composite 27.1875 0.2325 0.86 -2.12
Palladium Composite 582.95 5.75 1 -11.24
Platinum Composite 1415.25 1.55 0.11 1.01
GBP/USD – US $ per £ 1.5643 0.34 0.73
EUR/USD – US$ per Euro 1.2283 0.53 -5.18
GBP/EUR – Euros per £ 1.2734 -0.16 6.13
UK Index called to open +15pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 09:30   UK        Bank of England minutes & UK unemployment
  • 10:00   EZ        Construction Output
  • 13:30   US        Housing
  • See Live Macro Calendar for all data, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires

UK 100 called to open +15pts, despite a negative session in Asia-Pacific markets, after US markets rallied into the close on US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke’s  testimony to congress (Day 1 of 2) and some pleasing US corporate results and macro data.

While Bernanke failed to announce more monetary stimulus (money printing/quantitative easing/QE) which saw markets initially sell off, the Chairman’s downbeat assessment of the economy (rates low for longer, unemployment stobborn, growth tough) and listing of help measures available continues to convince market participants that the Fed can only be getting closer to cranking up doing ‘something’ meaningful. This saw the fires of risk appetite rekindled and markets push higher.

Strong corporate earnings from the likes of Goldman Sachs, Coca Cola, J&J, along with better than expected US Housing (very strong rebound) and US Industrial Production data also helped keep the bias bullish into the US close.

Asia-Pacific in the red despite strong session by US indices with risk aversion being order of the day as hopes of QE3 (third round of QE by the Fed) failed to provide a boost. Even better than expected results from Yahoo and Intel after the US close failed to provide impetus.

Overnight data supportive of a weak Asia-Pacific session, with a slowing in Chinese property Prices and a confirmed strong contraction in Japanese Machine Tool orders. Saying that, the former should support hopes of more rate cuts by the Chinese central bank to help maintain strong growth which should be a net positive.

Focus today likely on UK Bank of England (BoE) minutes for information on how the panel voted on interest rates and QE programme. UK Unemployment seen stable at 8.2%. Eurozone Construction could provide idea of regional growth. US data centred on the good old sentiment indicator of Housing with an update on starts and permits in June. Portugal selling 6 and 12-month debt (still expensive) but Germany likely to be able to again sell 2-year paper at next to nothing.

US corporates reporting results before during today’s trading include industrial Honeywell, investment firm Blackrock, investment banks Bank of New York Mellon and Bank of America. After the market close IBM will update along with Amex and eBay.

In FX and commodities, Gold trading lower on the stronger dollar as Bernanke did not open the door to QE as much as hoped. The price of Oil (US Light Crude and Brent Crude) continues to benefit from geo-political factors with less impact from the USD. In FX, GBP/USD and EUR/USD back to where they were pre-Bernanke’s speech (although his testimony continues today which may keep the USD lively).

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Aussie              Westpac Leading Index           Growth accelerated
  • China               Property prices                       Growth slowed
  • Japan               Machine Tool Orders              Strong contraction confirmed
  • See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • HomeServe says not in offer talks
  • RSA to take £50m UK rain, floods hit
  • LSE hits quarterly revenue forecast, boosted by UK Index
  • Speedy Hire Q1 revenue +5.6%
  • Booker Q1 underlying sales +1.7%
  • Raven Russia announces two Moscow acquisitions
  • Tullow Oil says latest Ghana well strikes oil
  • Severn Trent says trading in line with guidance
  • Fastnet Oil & Gas says buys Morocco position for $8m
  • Fresnillo on track to meet 2012 silver, gold targets
  • Polyus Gold – H1 gold production +18% y/y
  • Anadarko discovers oil offshore Ghana

 

Morning Press Selection:


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