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Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Marks & Spencer Group PLC 371.7 15.2 4.3 19.52
Smith & Nephew PLC 668 10 1.5 6.79
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC 3615 53 1.5 13.68
Standard Chartered PLC 1413 18.5 1.3 0.28
Centrica PLC 327.4 4.2 1.3 13.17
Unilever PLC 2273 26 1.2 5.09
Aggreko PLC 2284 25 1.1 13.24
CRH PLC 1131 12 1.1 -11.64
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Ashmore Group PLC 331.5 -15 -4.3 -0.75
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC 338.9 -12.6 -3.6 -46.67
Evraz PLC 246.8 -7.8 -3.1 -34.13
Kazakhmys PLC 660.5 -20 -2.9 -28.75
Anglo American PLC 1885 -56.5 -2.9 -20.77
Weir Group PLC 1692 -48 -2.8 -16.73
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (The) PLC 222.9 -5 -2.2 10.46
Barclays PLC 187.2 -3.8 -2 6.33
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK 100 5776.6 0 3.67
11449 -17.44 -0.15 13.32
CAC 40 3462.83 29.62 0.86 9.59
DAX (Xetra) 7047.45 76.38 1.1 19.48
Dow Jones Industrial Average 13124.7 -33.3 -0.25 7.42
Nasdaq Comp. 3073.19 3.4 0.11 17.97
S&P 500 1410.44 -0.69 -0.05 12.15
Nikkei 225 9039.63 -45.76 -0.5 6.91
Hang Seng 19825.9 27.23 0.14 7.55
S&P/ASX 200 4360 16.3 0.38 7.48
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil Light Sweet Composite 95.365 -0.265 -0.28 -3.67
Gold Composite 1662.45 -5.55 -0.33 6.13
Silver Composite 30.6025 -0.1375 -0.45 10.18
Palladium Composite 644.45 -5.55 -0.85 -1.88
Platinum Composite 1533.2 -12.9 -0.83 9.43
GBP/USD – US $ per £ 1.578 -0.07 1.61
EUR/USD – US$ per Euro 1.2486 -0.12 -3.61
GBP/EUR – Euros per £ 1.2637 0.04 5.33
UK Index called to open -10pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 08:00     ES           GDP
  • 09:30     ES           Debt Sale
  • 10:10     IT            Debt Sale
  • 14:00     US          Housing
  • 15:00     US          Consumer Confidence & Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
  • See Live Macro Calendar for all data, incl. consensus expectations

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires

UK 100 called to open -10pts, after a quiet US session with equities largely unchanged and markets back in their now habitual “wait-and-see” mode ahead of the eagerly anticipated annual Jackson Hole economic symposium (more importantly whether US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke will use his speech slot [as it 2010] to announce something stimulus-positive and risk-asset boosting) and the second estimate of Q2 US GDP on Wednesday.

European markets managed a fairly positive session (UK markets closed), despite weak UK Housing, deteriorating Chinese Industrial Profits and mixed German IFO data, after the Dallas Fed printed a significant improvement (although it is yet another piece of conflicting and stimulus-negative data). US Fed members maintained their comment tennis with some hawkish (against anti-stimulus) and others dovish (pro-stimulus).

Eurozone woes not forgotten with European Central Bank (ECB) members maintaining pressure on Italy and Spain to request bailout in order to allow the ECB to step into the sovereign bond markets to reduce their borrowing costs. French president Hollande says the time has come for ESM (bailout fund) in conjunction with ECB to put its instruments into action. There were also reports that a further €18bn of cost cuts would be demanded of Greece is it wanted the 2-year bailout extension it desires.

Overnight, Asian markets muted with concerns still aplenty on China’s economic slowdown, especially after Japan’s government downgraded the nations view of economic growth (first time in 10 months; slowing exports, weak consumer spending) and whether Jackson Hole will be used as a platform for stimulus announcements, or not as it is increasingly expected (The Daily Telegraph citing economists downplaying prospects) with data-flow continuing to be neither bad enough to suggest need for action nor good enough to suggest economic recovery.

In the Commodities Gold fallen back from 12-month trendline over falling highs with hopes for stimulus waning. The Oils are off their recent highs but note that the threat of hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico has seen production facilities battening down operations In FX, USD stronger vs. GBP and EUR as Fed stimulus hopes fade.

Today’s macro data is very US-focused with Housing, Consumer Confidence and Richmond Fed manufacturing. Housing is expected to show growth, but less that last month. Consumer confidence is seen flat to a touch higher, while Richmond Fed manufacturing index should show a good bounce similar to that of the Dallas Fed yesterday. However, watch out for Spanish GDP on the market-open as well as Spanish (short-term) and Italian (longer term) debt sales as this could sway Eurozone sentiment if costs/demand disappoint.

As always, have a chat with your friendly trader for anything other information you require.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Aussie              HIA New Home Sales                          Deteriorated
  • Japan               Small Business Confidence                 Deteriorated  
  • Germany         GFK Consumer Confidence                 Flat, Better
  • Switz                UBS Consumer Indicator                     Deteriorated
  • See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • G4S cuts 1,100 jobs after Olympics failure
  • Red Emperor Resources  Trading suspension lifted after announcement
  • Eurasia Drilling says H1 net profit up 24% to $181m
  • Archipelago Resources – Notice of Interim results 2012
  • Chemring cuts operating profit expectations for full year
  • Bunzl H1 profit up 9 pct, sees continued growth
  • Yule Catto sees FY profit ahead of last year
  • Cairn Energy takes position in San Leon’s Moroccan block
  • Solo Oil: Full-Scale Oil Production has Commenced at The Ausable Field
  • Balfour Beatty Preferred Bidder for Edinburgh University Accommodation Project
  • Range Resources Shabeel North Well Doesn’t Find Oil, Gas
  • Verona Pharma secures US patent for Lead drug candidate
  • AstraZeneca: EC Grants Marketing Authorisation To Zinforo
  • Uganda, Heritage Oil Tax Dispute Proceedings Should Be Made Public – Activists
  • Argos Resources Ltd 2012 Interim Financial Results

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This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

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