Getting latest data loading

This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Morning Report

UK 100 Leaders Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Kazakhmys PLC 552 31.5 6.1 -29.05
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA 257.2 11.7 4.8 39.18
Petrofac Ltd 1539 60 4.1 -5.18
Antofagasta PLC 1129 34 3.1 -14.73
TUI Travel PLC 320.3 9.2 3 13.38
BAE Systems PLC 377.6 8.4 2.3 12.08
Melrose Industries PLC 277.1 6 2.2 23.98
G4S PLC 307.5 6.1 2 19.88
UK 100 Laggards Close Chg % Chg % YTD
British Land Co PLC 555 -25.5 -4.4 -1.25
Hammerson PLC 505.5 -13 -2.5 3.52
Standard Chartered PLC 1788.5 -33.5 -1.8 13.66
United Utilities Group PLC 714 -9.5 -1.3 6.01
Aggreko PLC 1886 -23 -1.2 8.39
Serco Group PLC 625.5 -7.5 -1.2 16.92
Admiral Group PLC 1344 -15 -1.1 15.86
Land Securities Group PLC 823.5 -9 -1.1 1.23
Major World Indices Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
UK UK 100 6510.62 6.99 0.11 10.39
UK 14020 7.26 0.05 13.29
FR CAC 40 3839.97 3.7 0.1 5.46
DE DAX 30 7966.12 -18.17 -0.23 4.65
US DJ Industrial Average 30 14450 2.8 0.02 10.27
US Nasdaq Composite 100 3242.32 -10.55 -0.32 7.38
US S&P 500 1552.48 -3.74 -0.24 8.86
JP Nikkei 225 11932 248 2.13 14.78
HK Hang Seng Index 48 22777 217 0.96 0.53
AU S&P/ASX 200 5116 41.43 0.82 10.05
Commodities & FX Mid/Close Chg % Chg % YTD
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) 92.835 0.195 0.21 1.14
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) 109.655 -0.17 -0.15 -1.46
Gold ($/oz) 1591.95 0.45 0.03 -4.99
Silver ($/oz) 29.14 -0.015 -0.05 -3.96
Platinum ($/oz) 1591.7 -2.1 -0.13 3.09
GBP/USD – US$ per £ 1.4934 0.18 -8.06
EUR/USD – US$ per € 1.3049 0.14 -1.14
GBP/EUR – € per £ 1.1445 0.06 -7.07
UK Index called to open -15pts

UK 100 (UKX): 1-week chart (Source: IT-Finance)

Click graph to enlarge

Today's Main Events

  • 10:00     EZ           Industrial Production
  • 12:30     US          Retail Sales

See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations

 City of London will be hosting its annual Wealth Management awards next month.

We hope your experience with Accendo Markets over the past 12 months warrants a vote in the following category;  “BEST EXECUTION ONLY CFD PROVIDER”

VOTE NOW

Markets Overview: (Source: Bloomberg, FT, Reuters, DJ Newswires)

UK 100 called to open -15pts (but -10.7pts is from ex-dividends) with the rally-pause and some profit-taking in Asian markets persisting and equities sitting range-bound in the absence of any market moving data. Pressure on shares attributed to a stronger JPY due to some uncertainty ahead of BoJ reshuffle (how accommodative will newbies be? Early impact or not?) hitting Japanese stocks and the Nikkei.

Weakness also linked also to Chinese stocks extending their losing streak with sentiment impacted by soft economic data, government efforts to control the key (but overheated) property market and hawkish commentary from the PBOC (Chinese central bank) removing some support for risk assets.

US stocks also stuttered with macro-economic data drivers limited to an improvement in NFIB Small Business Confidence and higher Job Openings (both had no impact) and with the Technology sector the loser. The US Budget remains a contentious issue with progress between the two political camps barely glacial, after the White House shot down the Republicans’ latest proposal.

European bourses lacked conviction at either end of the risk spectrum as the gains of late are digested; Sp-Italy raised short-term debt with ease despite recent events and contain risk and crisis-not-over comments from the likes of Bundesbank (German central bank) president Weidman kept markets in check (he’s speaking again today).

Latest UK NIESR GDP estimate highlighted the risks of triple-dip recession, especially after very weak Industrial and Manufacturing Production but UK 100 remained resilient.

Overnight macro data was limited to Australia with an improvement in Consumer Confidence (albeit slower than last month) and strong rebound in Investment Lending although an expected recovery in Home Loans did not materialise. This morning French Non-Farm Payrolls have come in worse than expected, weaker than last month’s decline.

In focus today, look out for French and Spanish Consumer Price Inflation which is seen remaining below target in France and well above target in Spain, with the latter accentuating the pinch on consumers with rising costs and austerity hurting. Italy is selling more debt, this time for long-term durations with interest rates keenly eyed in the light of the costs of political deadlock.

European Industrial Production is seen having a weak January, but with an improvement in the annual figure. In the afternoon, US Retail Sales, a key indicator of consumer confidence, are expected to show gains accelerating in Feb after the weak Jan following Xmas and the fiscal-cliff shenanigans.

UK 100 off its highs as we head to the open (a familiar trend as the index just grinds higher). Support available below rising lows from end-Feb, evident in the overnight lows just above rising trendline and rising channel un-breached. Potential for another assault on 6535 highs, but with caution continuing to creep in, we cannot rule out the possibility of a bigger clear-out and pullback to 6415 after the 4.8% gains from end-Feb.

In FX, the GBP/USD still in downtrend with GBP dented by poor Industrial and Manufacturing production and NIESR GDP estimate opening the possibility of triple-dip recession. With budget looking and poor state of UK finances, the weakness may persist, especially with growing confidence in US recovery despite budget deadlock. EUR/USD maintained bounce from recent lows to regain 1.30 despite Eurozone concerns (theoretical backstops all we need?). Support at 200-day moving average 1.295.

In commodities, Gold slowed up after renewed attack on $1600 following EUR/USD quite closely. In Oil, US Light Crude retains bullish bias with progress made to regain $93, while Brent Crude remains in the doldrums, failing to make any progress from its lows of $109. Support, or pause before further weakness and significant narrowing of the spread between the two oils?

For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.

 

Overnight Macro Data: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Aussie              Consumer Confidence                        Improved, but growth slowed
  • Aussie              Home Loans                            Worse – no rebound
  • Aussie              Investment Lending                Improved
  • France             Non-Farm Payrolls                  Worse, deteriorated  

See Live Macro calendar for all details

 

UK Company Headlines: (Source: Reuters/DJ Newswires)

  • Hikma Pharmaceuticals expects revenue to grow 10 percent in 2013
  • Exillon shareholder withdraws EGM reques
  • Ferrexpo sweetens 2012 profit hit with special dividend
  • Hochschild FY earnings fall 32 pct on lower silver price
  • Afren says Kurdistan well result is positive
  • Ashley Almanza to succeed Dighton as G4S CFO
  • 888 earnings rise 20 pct, says trading strong
  • Nostra Terra buys stake in Texas property
  • G4S profit up 6 pct despite Olympic debacle
  • French Connection underlying FY pre-tax loss 7.2 million pounds
  • Thomas Cook eyes 350 mln stg profit improvement by 2015

 

 


Back to Top

This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.

Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when spread betting and/or trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
.