Today's Main Events
- 09:30 UK Industrial & Manufacturing Production
- 13:30 US Trade Balance
- 15:00 UK NIESR GDP Estimate
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
This report is not a personal recommendation and does not take into account your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.
UK 100 Leaders | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
ARM Holdings PLC | 863.5 | 36.5 | 4.4 | 12.43 |
Bunzl PLC | 1049 | 34 | 3.3 | 3.96 |
Melrose Industries PLC | 241.1 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 7.87 |
Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation PLC | 321.6 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 13.24 |
John Wood Group PLC | 794.5 | 20.5 | 2.6 | 9.36 |
TUI Travel PLC | 280.8 | 5.9 | 2.1 | -0.6 |
GKN PLC | 240 | 4.7 | 2 | 4.9 |
Resolution Ltd | 260.7 | 5.1 | 2 | 5.33 |
UK 100 Laggards | Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Intertek Group PLC | 3100 | -60 | -1.9 | 0.03 |
Associated British Foods PLC | 1520 | -26 | -1.7 | -2.81 |
Aviva PLC | 368 | -5.7 | -1.5 | -1.34 |
ITV PLC | 107.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | 2.38 |
Tullow Oil PLC | 1225 | -18 | -1.4 | -2.85 |
Tate & Lyle PLC | 769.5 | -10 | -1.3 | 0.98 |
Johnson Matthey PLC | 2295 | -29 | -1.2 | -3.41 |
G4S PLC | 261.6 | -3.1 | -1.2 | 1.99 |
Major World Indices | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
UK UK 100 | 6101.5 | 2.86 | 0.05 | 3.45 |
UK | 12730.8 | 21.74 | 0.17 | 2.88 |
FR CAC 40 | 3703.12 | -14.33 | -0.39 | 1.7 |
DE DAX 30 | 7708.47 | -12 | -0.16 | 1.26 |
US DJ Industrial Average 30 | 13471.2 | 80.7 | 0.6 | 2.8 |
US Nasdaq Composite 100 | 3121.76 | 15.95 | 0.51 | 3.39 |
US S&P 500 | 1472.12 | 11.1 | 0.76 | 3.22 |
JP Nikkei 225 | 10801.57 | 148.93 | 1.4 | 3.91 |
HK Hang Seng Index 48 | 23253.04 | -91.76 | -0.39 | 2.63 |
AU S&P/ASX 200 | 4709.48 | -13.47 | -0.29 | 1.30 |
Commodities & FX | Mid/Close | Chg | % Chg | % YTD |
Crude Oil, US Light Sweet ($/barrel) | 93.815 | -0.255 | -0.27 | 2.21 |
Crude Oil, Brent ($/barrel) | 111.56 | -0.725 | -0.65 | 0.26 |
Gold ($/oz) | 1671.85 | -1.95 | -0.12 | -0.22 |
Silver ($/oz) | 30.7775 | -0.0675 | -0.22 | 1.44 |
Platinum ($/oz) | 1638.5 | 2.2 | 0.13 | 6.12 |
GBP/USD – US$ per £ | 1.6162 | – | -0.01 | -0.49 |
EUR/USD – US$ per € | 1.3273 | – | 0 | 0.56 |
GBP/EUR – € per £ | 1.2177 | – | -0.01 | -1.13 |
See Live Macro Calendar for full data line-up, incl. consensus expectations
UK 100 called to open +10pts, helped by Japanese equities getting another boost from the launch of a much anticipated fresh stimulus package expected to add 2% to its struggling GDP and create 600K jobs. This has weighed yet further on the Japanese Yen (JPY) but continued to provide support for equities of its exporters, with the recently elected PM Abe having an early impact.
In addition to calls for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to adopt a 2% inflation target is demand for adoption of a maximum employment target to help revive the economy which reported a worsening in its trade balance and current account overnight.
Overnight macro data comprised slightly higher China Consumer Price Inflation (CPI), and an acceleration on the prior month, however, Producer Price Inflation (PPI) remained under pressure although a little less than previously. The aggregate of the news, suggests less wiggle room for policy easing to maintain its economic recovery (a disappointment after the strong trade balance data yesterday) and seen Shanghai equities put in the worst performance overnight in a weak session for Asia ex-Japan.
Japanese equities also helped by much stronger than expected Japanese Eco Watcher Surveys. For watchers of emerging markets, India’s industrial production also missed expectations with a slump to negative.
In focus today will be the UK’s Industrial and Manufacturing Production growth figures with growth expected to have rebounded in November. Spanish Industrial Output also released at the market open may be watched given the nation’s growth woes.
In the afternoon we have the US Trade Balance and an updated estimate on UK GDP, however, all eyes will likely be on US bank Wells Fargo at 1pm as it is the first of the major financials to update the markets on Q4 results.
US markets closed higher helped by the increased appetite for risk after European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi closed the door on rate cuts and saw the Euro (EUR) favoured over the US dollar (USD) on the prospect of the region doing better, and resulting in a flow out of the greenback safehaven and into risk assets such as equities and the now relatively cheaper dollar-denominated commodities.
The UK 100 is back around that 6110 level where it spent a lot of yesterday, although it try higher after Draghi Spoke, followed by a sell-off to 6090 and then a recovery to 6130 after the Japanese stimulus news. We have since traded back again after the worse China news which, as the world’s #2 nation, may weigh more on sentiment this morning.
For any help you may require placing trades or in terms of market information, put a call in to our trading floor – all part of the service.
Happy Friday!
This research is produced by Accendo Markets Limited. Research produced and disseminated by Accendo Markets is classified as non-independent research, and is therefore a marketing communication. This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote its independence and it is not subject to the prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. This research does not constitute a personal recommendation or offer to enter into a transaction or an investment, and is produced and distributed for information purposes only.
Accendo Markets considers opinions and information contained within the research to be valid when published, and gives no warranty as to the investments referred to in this material. The income from the investments referred to may go down as well as up, and investors may realise losses on investments. The past performance of a particular investment is not necessarily a guide to its future performance. Prepared by Michael van Dulken, Head of Research